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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Fili v Oliveira Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus88 picks · conf 81/99
Fili 29
59 Oliveira
MMMBMT pick Fili
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Fili 25-13 VS 23-4 Oliveira
5'11" height 5'9"
145 lb weight 145 lb
74" reach 70"
36 age 30
Orthodox stance Switch
3.9 strikes landed / min 5.9
37% striking accuracy 43%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 2.9
51% striking defence 53%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
43% takedown accuracy 60%
70% takedown defence 68%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SS Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Andre Fili VALUE “I'm gonna I'm gonna take Andre Fili here by split decision.”
SS Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Vinicius Oliveira “give me Vinicius Oliveira by KO.”
YA YapMMA picks Andre Fili “Give me Andre Philly by knockout over Vinicius Oliveira Oliver.”
VO volksleftnut picks Vinicius Oliveira “I'm going round two knockout for Vinicius Oliveira.”
MP MPSO picks Andre Fili “I think he'll just pressure Andre Fili in the fight and just win the fight by throwing more and maybe with some control time as well.”
TM Tap That MMA picks Vinicius Oliveira “I definitely use Vinicius Oliveira in uh several DFS lineups this week too.”
HB Half The Battle picks Vinicius Oliveira “I'm gonna go Venicious Lock Dog Olivera to have a successful debut in the UFC at 145 lbs.”
MK MMA Kay picks Andre Fili VALUE “I want to go with Andre Fili, guys.” $3.30
TA TARGETMMA picks Andre Fili “Andre Fili TKO is plus 750, which I'm leaning towards. I'm leaning towards a TKO.” $8.50
TP Touch 'Em Up Podcast picks Vinicius Oliveira “give me Venicious Vinicius Oliveira. Give me Lok Dog. Round two, TKO over Andre NOT_IN_ROSTER_23.”
TP The Franchise Player picks Vinicius Oliveira “give me Vinicius Oliveira by knockout.”
WP We Want Picks picks Vinicius Oliveira “NOT_IN_ROSTER_23 is going to be the pick.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Fili25-13
L Oliveira KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Delgado Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Costa Submission · R1 Feb '25
W Swanson Decision · R3 Jun '24
Oliveira23-4
W Fili KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Bautista Submission · R2 Feb '26
W Phillips Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Simón Decision · R3 Jun '24