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Griffin vs ValenzuelaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Sterling vs ZalalMain Card · Featherweight
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García vs HernandezMain Card · Lightweight
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Jackson vs BarcelosMain Card · Bantamweight
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Dumont vs EdwardsMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Buchecha vs SpannMain Card · Heavyweight
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Alencar vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Vieira vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MS
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Silva vs MontaguePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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McVey vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Grant vs MartinettiMain Card · Bantamweight
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Filho vs DurdenPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Marshall vs BrennanPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Griffin vs ValenzuelaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Griffin v Valenzuela
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Griffin 20-12
VS
12-4 Valenzuela
5'11"
height
5'9"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
76"
reach
72"
40
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.9
strikes landed / min
—
49%
striking accuracy
—
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
—
57%
striking defence
—
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
—
41%
takedown accuracy
—
68%
takedown defence
—
0.3
submissions / 15 min
—
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RX
RX picks Max Griffin VALUE
“Give me Max Griffin.”
RX picks Max Griffin VALUE
“Give me Max Griffin.”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Victor Valenzuela
“I'm going Victor Valenzuela”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Victor Valenzuela
“I'm going Victor Valenzuela”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Max Griffin
“I can't bet Max Griffin because he's 40, but I can pick him... I think maybe Max Griffin can win this fight.”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Max Griffin
“I can't bet Max Griffin because he's 40, but I can pick him... I think maybe Max Griffin can win this fight.”
TP
The Franchise Player picks Max Griffin
“little bonus bet on Max Griffin to win here. Max Griffin gets a win”
The Franchise Player picks Max Griffin
“little bonus bet on Max Griffin to win here. Max Griffin gets a win”
TP
The Surprise Jab Podcast picks Victor Valenzuela
“go with Victor Valenzuela here”
The Surprise Jab Podcast picks Victor Valenzuela
“go with Victor Valenzuela here”
MA
MaybeLuissMMA picks Victor Valenzuela
“Victor Valenzuela by decision as well”
MaybeLuissMMA picks Victor Valenzuela
“Victor Valenzuela by decision as well”
AH
Alonzo Hernandez picks Victor Valenzuela
“I'm gonna go Victor Valenzuela, bro. ... I'm gonna go Victor Valenzuela with a first”
Alonzo Hernandez picks Victor Valenzuela
“I'm gonna go Victor Valenzuela, bro. ... I'm gonna go Victor Valenzuela with a first”
TC
The Finz Chats picks Max Griffin
“I think this is a great spot for Max Griffin Max Griffin. ... I'm not buying Victor Victor Valenzuela. ... I just don't think Victor Valenzuela is good.”
The Finz Chats picks Max Griffin
“I think this is a great spot for Max Griffin Max Griffin. ... I'm not buying Victor Victor Valenzuela. ... I just don't think Victor Valenzuela is good.”
SL
Summit Valley Sports LLC picks Max Griffin
“I'm gonna go Max Griffin. ... give me Max Griffin.”
Summit Valley Sports LLC picks Max Griffin
“I'm gonna go Max Griffin. ... give me Max Griffin.”
MM
MMAnomaly picks Max Griffin
“Max Griffin here. He's my dog of switched my pick to Eric McConico. Victor Valenzuela, he's a good fighter, knock out Max Griffin, I don't see a path to victory for him”
MMAnomaly picks Max Griffin
“Max Griffin here. He's my dog of switched my pick to Eric McConico. Victor Valenzuela, he's a good fighter, knock out Max Griffin, I don't see a path to victory for him”
LM
LF MMA picks Victor Valenzuela
“give Max Griffin a fight. He's not really ready for Father Time is undefeated and I think Victor Valenzuela can probably finish here.”
LF MMA picks Victor Valenzuela
“give Max Griffin a fight. He's not really ready for Father Time is undefeated and I think Victor Valenzuela can probably finish here.”
SO
Sorvain picks Victor Valenzuela
“I'm taking a slight flyer on Victor Valenzuela over Max Griffin”
Sorvain picks Victor Valenzuela
“I'm taking a slight flyer on Victor Valenzuela over Max Griffin”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Griffin20-12
L
Valenzuela
Apr '26
L
Curtis
Jul '25
L
Chiesa
Dec '24
W
Wells
Feb '24
L
Morales
Jul '23
Valenzuela12-4
W
Griffin
Apr '26