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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pinto v Franco
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pinto 11-0
VS
10-1 Franco
6'5"
height
6'1"
255 lb
weight
205 lb
79"
reach
76"
28
age
25
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.0
strikes landed / min
—
41%
striking accuracy
—
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
—
69%
striking defence
—
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
—
47%
takedown accuracy
—
55%
takedown defence
—
1.7
submissions / 15 min
—
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PW
P Welsh picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“I think his last bite 15-4 coming off a canceled fight... I think Pinto getting his first like decision, not decision win here, but like taking uh Franco to decision... I think he can get a third one here.”
P Welsh picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“I think his last bite 15-4 coming off a canceled fight... I think Pinto getting his first like decision, not decision win here, but like taking uh Franco to decision... I think he can get a third one here.”
TE
Teep_Muaythai picks Mário Pinto
“Mário Pinto by submission in round one.”
Teep_Muaythai picks Mário Pinto
“Mário Pinto by submission in round one.”
SM
Surnett MMA picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“Mário Pinto needs needs to go”
Surnett MMA picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“Mário Pinto needs needs to go”
LM
Loki MMA picks Mário Pinto
“I'm going to go Pinto by knockout”
Loki MMA picks Mário Pinto
“I'm going to go Pinto by knockout”
LM
Loki MMA picks Felipe Franco
“I'm going to go Pinto by knockout”
Loki MMA picks Felipe Franco
“I'm going to go Pinto by knockout”
JP
Jpunt picks Mário Pinto
“I'm going Mário Pinto by KO. 1.65 odds, one unit. Um, so yeah, Mário Pinto, maybe he”
Jpunt picks Mário Pinto
“I'm going Mário Pinto by KO. 1.65 odds, one unit. Um, so yeah, Mário Pinto, maybe he”
TP
The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“I like Mário Pinto and honestly seeing a little bit of his grappling chops. I'm thinking that he has a uh pretty good chance of making it into like the top 10 of the division. Give me Mário Pinto here.”
The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“I like Mário Pinto and honestly seeing a little bit of his grappling chops. I'm thinking that he has a uh pretty good chance of making it into like the top 10 of the division. Give me Mário Pinto here.”
TP
The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Felipe Franco VALUE
“Yeah, I I think Mário Pinto hopefully gets him out of there round one... I think this is maybe shouldn't have been booked. Dude, this is a legit heavyweight versus a light heavyweight.”
The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Felipe Franco VALUE
“Yeah, I I think Mário Pinto hopefully gets him out of there round one... I think this is maybe shouldn't have been booked. Dude, this is a legit heavyweight versus a light heavyweight.”
AN
Andy_MMA picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“I'm going to say he gets it done via decision.”
Andy_MMA picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“I'm going to say he gets it done via decision.”
NE
NeverWrongMMA picks Mário Pinto
“I think Mário Pinto is a KO. I see Mário Pinto getting the this guy's going to KO Felipe Franco.”
NeverWrongMMA picks Mário Pinto
“I think Mário Pinto is a KO. I see Mário Pinto getting the this guy's going to KO Felipe Franco.”
AN
AntUFC picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“I'm gonna get a KO I think left hook maybe again or straight punches in the center.”
AntUFC picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“I'm gonna get a KO I think left hook maybe again or straight punches in the center.”
MM
Mayor MMA picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“I'm going Mario.”
Mayor MMA picks Mário Pinto VALUE
“I'm going Mario.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pinto11-0
W
Franco
Mar '26
W
Diniz
Oct '25
W
Lane
Mar '25
Franco10-1
L
Pinto
Mar '26