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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Dolidze v Leroy Duncan
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Dolidze 15-4
VS
13-2 Leroy Duncan
6'2"
height
6'2"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
76"
reach
79"
37
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Switch
3.2
strikes landed / min
4.7
42%
striking accuracy
62%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.6
50%
striking defence
49%
1.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
42%
takedown accuracy
14%
33%
takedown defence
64%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PI
PibbleMMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“Christian Leroy Duncan is going to the Nathaniel Wood fight”
PibbleMMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“Christian Leroy Duncan is going to the Nathaniel Wood fight”
PW
P Welsh picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“I think he's going to sneak up and just get a disgusting decision win... I really just see kind of this a kind of disgusting fight going on here... I think Roman Dolidze can get the better of him.”
P Welsh picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“I think he's going to sneak up and just get a disgusting decision win... I really just see kind of this a kind of disgusting fight going on here... I think Roman Dolidze can get the better of him.”
SM
Surnett MMA picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“I'm going Roman Dolidze by crafty... decision.”
Surnett MMA picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“I'm going Roman Dolidze by crafty... decision.”
LM
Loki MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“I have Christian Leroy Duncan with a second round finish”
Loki MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“I have Christian Leroy Duncan with a second round finish”
LM
Loki MMA picks Roman Dolidze
“Christian Christian Leroy Duncan should smoke Roman Dolidze Masterclass on him”
Loki MMA picks Roman Dolidze
“Christian Christian Leroy Duncan should smoke Roman Dolidze Masterclass on him”
LI
liltoaster picks Roman Dolidze
“I'm going with Roman Dolidze.”
liltoaster picks Roman Dolidze
“I'm going with Roman Dolidze.”
TP
The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I think the sky's is the limit for Christian Leroy Duncan. It's just about he puts it together on fight night. Dude's got all the tools to to be a top middleweight in the world. I think he gets the job done.”
The Early Weigh In Podcast picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I think the sky's is the limit for Christian Leroy Duncan. It's just about he puts it together on fight night. Dude's got all the tools to to be a top middleweight in the world. I think he gets the job done.”
AN
Andy_MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I'm going Christian Leroy Duncan.”
Andy_MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I'm going Christian Leroy Duncan.”
AN
AntUFC picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“I have to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_17 in this one.”
AntUFC picks Roman Dolidze VALUE
“I have to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_17 in this one.”
NC
Nick Cieslak picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“I'm going to pick him to win this fight.”
Nick Cieslak picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“I'm going to pick him to win this fight.”
TC
The Finz Chats picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I will also be taking Christian Leroy Duncan”
The Finz Chats picks Christian Leroy Duncan VALUE
“I will also be taking Christian Leroy Duncan”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“I think Christian Leroy Duncan will dominate this fight.”
Bozing MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan
“I think Christian Leroy Duncan will dominate this fight.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Dolidze15-4
L
Duncan
Mar '26
L
Hernandez
Aug '25
W
Vettori
Mar '25
W
Holland
Oct '24
W
Smith
Jun '24
Leroy Duncan13-2
W
Dolidze
Mar '26
W
Tulio
Nov '25
W
Anders
Aug '25
W
Pulyaev
Mar '25
L
Rodrigues
Jul '24