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Simón vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Duncan vs TulioMain Card · Middleweight
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Amil vs EmmersPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Silva vs CavalcantiPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Hokit vs GimenisPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Padilla v Bonfim
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Padilla 0-0
VS
20-4 Bonfim
5'9"
height
5'8"
155 lb
weight
156 lb
74"
reach
72"
30
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.8
strikes landed / min
5.8
61%
striking accuracy
54%
4.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
46%
striking defence
70%
3.3
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
75%
takedown accuracy
33%
0%
takedown defence
76%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“I'm seeing a rear naked choke for Chris Padilla.”
GLO MMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“I'm seeing a rear naked choke for Chris Padilla.”
MM
MMAFightingonSBN picks Chris Padilla
“Fouright win streak at lightweight is. quietly flying under the radar. Chris Padilla.”
MMAFightingonSBN picks Chris Padilla
“Fouright win streak at lightweight is. quietly flying under the radar. Chris Padilla.”
HZ
Hank's War Zone picks Chris Padilla
“there's a really good chance that Chris Padilla throws a stopped the fight.”
Hank's War Zone picks Chris Padilla
“there's a really good chance that Chris Padilla throws a stopped the fight.”
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Chris Padilla
“I have to favor Chris Padilla. I'll have to favor Chris Padilla after that.”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Chris Padilla
“I have to favor Chris Padilla. I'll have to favor Chris Padilla after that.”
MK
Morning Kombat picks Chris Padilla
“Defi des despite the fact that Ismael Bonfim has been finished in two of his last three fights... oh, and Ismael Bonfim Bonfi missed weight by five pounds.”
Morning Kombat picks Chris Padilla
“Defi des despite the fact that Ismael Bonfim has been finished in two of his last three fights... oh, and Ismael Bonfim Bonfi missed weight by five pounds.”
RX
RX picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“I'm going to lean here with Chris Padilla, too. I think he is better than Ismael Bonfim.”
RX picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“I'm going to lean here with Chris Padilla, too. I think he is better than Ismael Bonfim.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ismael Bonfim
“I think it's going to be Ismael Bonfim.”
We Want Picks picks Ismael Bonfim
“I think it's going to be Ismael Bonfim.”
MU
MMA UNCENSORED picks Ismael Bonfim
“And to go with Ismael Bonfim and I'm going”
MMA UNCENSORED picks Ismael Bonfim
“And to go with Ismael Bonfim and I'm going”
MR
MMA on the Rocks (MMA on the Rocks) picks Ismael Bonfim
“I'm picking Ismael Bonfim.”
MMA on the Rocks (MMA on the Rocks) picks Ismael Bonfim
“I'm picking Ismael Bonfim.”
GI
GiulianoArgenti picks Chris Padilla
“I'm taking Chris Padilla”
GiulianoArgenti picks Chris Padilla
“I'm taking Chris Padilla”
MM
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Chris Padilla
“So, Chris Padilla is gets the victory over Chris Padilla.”
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Chris Padilla
“So, Chris Padilla is gets the victory over Chris Padilla.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Padilla0-0
W
Bonfim
Nov '25
W
Herbert
Mar '25
W
Zhu
Sep '24
W
Llontop
Apr '24
Bonfim20-4
L
Padilla
Nov '25
L
Sadykhov
Feb '25
W
Pichel
May '24
L
Denis
Jul '23
W
McKinney
Jan '23