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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Schnell v Morales Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus123 picks · conf 97/99
Schnell 16
107 Morales
MSFMRG pick Schnell
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Schnell 17-10 VS 14-2 Morales
5'8" height 5'6"
126 lb weight 126 lb
70" reach 68"
36 age 31
Orthodox stance Switch
4.4 strikes landed / min 1.6
39% striking accuracy 37%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 1.7
55% striking defence 60%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
40% takedown accuracy 50%
50% takedown defence 23%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 2.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Joseph Morales VALUE “I feel like uh Joseph Moral sorry Joseph Morales is going to get this done uh probably by first round submission.”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Joseph Morales “I am going to pick Joseph Morales.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Joseph Morales “I'm picking Joseph Morales to win.”
HZ Hank's War Zone picks Joseph Morales “I think uh Joseph Morales could beat him”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Joseph Morales “I'd say Joseph Morales Joseph Morales agree.”
MK Morning Kombat picks Joseph Morales “Are you all in on Joseph Morales's potential here at Flyweight?”
RX RX picks Joseph Morales “I'm going Joseph Morales by decision.”
DB Denver Sports Betting picks Joseph Morales “I have Joseph Morales.”
WP We Want Picks picks Joseph Morales “I think Joseph Morales wins this fight.”
MU MMA UNCENSORED picks Joseph Morales “Joseph Morales. I'm going to go with”
MR MMA on the Rocks (MMA on the Rocks) picks Joseph Morales “I had circled Joseph Morales to win”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Joseph Morales VALUE “I think Joseph Morales, by the way,” $5.40
Recent form last five, most recent first
Schnell17-10
L Costa KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
L Morales Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Flick Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Durden Submission · R2 Sep '24
L Erceg KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
Morales14-2
W Schnell Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Idiris Submission · R2 Aug '25
L Shelton Decision · R3 Nov '18
L Figueiredo KO/TKO · R2 Feb '18
W Sanchez Submission · R1 Aug '17