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UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Wells v Gorimbo Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus28 picks · conf 52/99
Wells 8
20 Gorimbo
T1MOMB pick Wells
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Wells 13-4-1 VS 14-6 Gorimbo
5'9" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 171 lb
74" reach 77"
39 age 35
Switch stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 3.1
47% striking accuracy 61%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 1.1
63% striking defence 56%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 4.9
52% takedown accuracy 65%
52% takedown defence 82%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MC McManusMMA picks Jeremiah Wells “picking Jeremiah Wells to win this”
MP MMA Gems Podcast picks Themba Gorimbo “Themba Gorimbo will win the fight? I think Themba Gorimbo will”
MA MMA Attic picks Themba Gorimbo “So I picked him up as a minus 130 favorite for 1.95 units.” $1.77
MM MMA Mechanic picks Themba Gorimbo “I'm pick them. I think Thema Themba Gorimbo is going to um impose his will on um and we've seen um Jeremiah Wells um gas two later in fights and I think that Themba Gorimbo's uh relentless wrestling style is going to be too much for him.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jeremiah Wells “Yeah, it's a really weird fight, but um I definitely like Jeremiah Wells.”
1M 138 MMA picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “I'm going to take him here at plus 123. Give me Jeremiah Wells” $2.23
TO TonyHasDiedMMA picks Themba Gorimbo “I'm picking Themba Gorimbo to win this fight by decision.”
TM The MMA Mystic picks Themba Gorimbo “I think I'm I'm going to go with Themba Gorimbo in this one.”
TM Topside MMA picks Themba Gorimbo “for now I guess the pick's got to be Themba Gorimbo, but it could go either way.”
FP Fight Night Picks picks Themba Gorimbo “I think Themba Gorimbo is gonna win inside the distance.”
ON Open Space Network picks Jeremiah Wells
RM Rare MMA picks Themba Gorimbo “I think Themba Gorimbo is gonna win this one.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Wells13-4-1
W Gorimbo Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Griffin Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Harris Submission · R3 Aug '23
W Semelsberger Decision · R3 Apr '23
W McGee KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22
Gorimbo14-6
L Micallef Decision · R3 May '26
L Wells Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Luque Submission · R1 Dec '24
W Price Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Brahimaj Decision · R3 May '24