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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nakamura v Fletcher Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus30 picks · conf 54/99
Nakamura 23
7 Fletcher
LBTTTM pick Nakamura
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nakamura 9-0 VS 9-1 Fletcher
5'7" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 135 lb
69" reach 70"
31 age 28
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 2.2
54% striking accuracy 70%
1.4 strikes absorbed / min 1.0
67% striking defence 40%
3.7 takedowns / 15 min 9.6
90% takedown accuracy 66%
100% takedown defence 0%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 2.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TG The Fight Guy picks Rinya Nakamura “I'm going to go with Rinya Nakamura to win this fight, though. I think this is going to be a closer fight than people expect it to be than the odds say it will be, but I think Rinya Nakamura will win a decision here.”
MM MMAnomaly picks Rinya Nakamura “I'm going to go with Henya on this one.” $1.24
LJ Lucrative James picks Rinya Nakamura “I feel like he's got Nathan covered”
KP Knockout Picks picks Nathan Fletcher VALUE “I got Nathan Fletcher.” $4.00
OZ Ozzy picks Rinya Nakamura “I think Rinya Nakamura is going to win this fight pretty easily. ... I'm going to go with Renya Nakamore decision by um Domination.”
GM GLO MMA picks Nathan Fletcher “this pick Nathan Fletcher. He's just the Nathan Fletcher is going to win”
LM Luminary MMA picks Rinya Nakamura “I'm picking Ra here, dude.”
UT UFC Predictions Tracker picks Rinya Nakamura “62 out of 71 predict he will win this fight for 87%... for a decision win, we have 33 channels going with Rinya Nakamura.” $1.24
FF Fite Feed picks Rinya Nakamura “I am going with Rinya Nakamura in this fight.”
MM Mayor MMA picks Nathan Fletcher “I'm going to pick Rene Mc Nakamura.”
US Uselyis picks Rinya Nakamura “Reena plus Tatsuro Taira minus 179.”
TH TheFinalRoundHQ picks Rinya Nakamura “I'm going to choose Rinya Nakamura.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nakamura9-0
W Fletcher KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Gafurov Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Vera Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Garcia Decision · R3 Aug '23
W Kazama KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
Fletcher9-1
L Nakamura KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Loughran Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Ramaška Submission · R2 Sep '24