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Nakamura vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Rosa vs CornolleMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Klein vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Vieira vs GorePreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Nakamura vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Rębecki vs DuncanMain Card · Lightweight
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Brener vs RibovicsMain Card · Lightweight
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Magny vs SantosMain Card · Welterweight
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Silva vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
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Bashi vs YannisPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Prophecy read
Nakamura v Fletcher
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nakamura 9-0
VS
9-1 Fletcher
5'7"
height
5'7"
136 lb
weight
135 lb
69"
reach
70"
31
age
28
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
2.2
54%
striking accuracy
70%
1.4
strikes absorbed / min
1.0
67%
striking defence
40%
3.7
takedowns / 15 min
9.6
90%
takedown accuracy
66%
100%
takedown defence
0%
1.6
submissions / 15 min
2.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TG
The Fight Guy picks Rinya Nakamura
“I'm going to go with Rinya Nakamura to win this fight, though. I think this is going to be a closer fight than people expect it to be than the odds say it will be, but I think Rinya Nakamura will win a decision here.”
LJ
Lucrative James picks Rinya Nakamura
“I feel like he's got Nathan covered”
OZ
Ozzy picks Rinya Nakamura
“I think Rinya Nakamura is going to win this fight pretty easily. ... I'm going to go with Renya Nakamore decision by um Domination.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Nathan Fletcher
“this pick Nathan Fletcher. He's just the Nathan Fletcher is going to win”
LM
Luminary MMA picks Rinya Nakamura
“I'm picking Ra here, dude.”
UT
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Rinya Nakamura
“62 out of 71 predict he will win this fight for 87%... for a decision win, we have 33 channels going with Rinya Nakamura.”
$1.24
FF
Fite Feed picks Rinya Nakamura
“I am going with Rinya Nakamura in this fight.”
MM
Mayor MMA picks Nathan Fletcher
“I'm going to pick Rene Mc Nakamura.”
US
Uselyis picks Rinya Nakamura
“Reena plus Tatsuro Taira minus 179.”
TH
TheFinalRoundHQ picks Rinya Nakamura
“I'm going to choose Rinya Nakamura.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nakamura9-0
W
Fletcher
Aug '25
L
Gafurov
Jan '25
W
Vera
Feb '24
W
Garcia
Aug '23
W
Kazama
Feb '23
Fletcher9-1
L
Nakamura
Aug '25
L
Loughran
Mar '25
W
Ramaška
Sep '24