MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley
Choose a fight to analyse
KU JB Usman vs BuckleyFight Card · Welterweight RN MM Namajunas vs MaverickFight Card · Women'S Flyweight MC CM Chiesa vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight MA CB Abdul-Malik vs BrundageFight Card · Middleweight ES AP Shahbazyan vs PetroskiFight Card · Middleweight CD JO Durden vs OchoaPreliminary Card · Flyweight AM OS Menifield vs SyFight Card · Light Heavyweight CG RB Garbrandt vs BarcelosFight Card · Bantamweight PC RB Craig vs BellatoPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight JH VD Horth vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight MW KM Wellmaker vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight RS CS Simón vs SmothermanPreliminary Card · Bantamweight PR AL Rowe vs LoosaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Craig v Bellato Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus99 picks · conf 84/99
Craig 38
61 Bellato
WLMFF1 pick Craig
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Craig 17-10-1 VS 13-3-1 Bellato
6'3" height 6'3"
205 lb weight 204 lb
76" reach 75"
38 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 4.4
48% striking accuracy 36%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
52% striking defence 50%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
60% takedown accuracy 30%
80% takedown defence 80%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Rodolfo Bellato “I think Rodolfo Bellato is going to get it done.”
KP Kick Em In The Head MMA Podcast picks Rodolfo Bellato “I'm going with Rodolfo Bellato as well” $1.24
TD The Rambling Dad picks Rodolfo Bellato “I'm going to go with Rodolfo Bellato” $1.24
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Rodolfo Bellato “I'm taking Rodolfo Bellato as well.” $1.24
TA TakeDownTalks picks Paul Craig VALUE “Paul Craig to pull off a submission.”
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Rodolfo Bellato VALUE “vitória do Rodolfo Bellato sobre o Paul Craig. ... Eu acho que o Belato vende essa luta pagando 1,26.”
BE BetSam picks Rodolfo Bellato “I'm going to go Rulo Bolato here.”
GI GipperPicks picks Paul Craig VALUE “And I'm going with Batto.” $1.25
T™ TheWagerZone ™ picks Rodolfo Bellato “I'm taking Rodolfo Bellato”
LI LiamthemaestroMMA picks Paul Craig “I think he's going to win this.”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Paul Craig “I'm going with Deran here”
JJ JP Bet Journal picks Paul Craig VALUE “I got the Paul Craig money line. If you watch my other video, you know I'm just not sold on Rodolfo Bellato. He's easy to hit. He's almost been finished in both his last two fights and Paul Craig has beat some big names. I know he hasn't done that great lately, but I think Paul Craig can potentially get a W.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Craig17-10-1
L Bukauskas KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
L Nickal Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Borralho KO/TKO · R2 May '24
L Allen Submission · R3 Nov '23
W Muniz KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23
Bellato13-3-1
W Fernandez KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Stirling Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Potieria KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23