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CO
DP
Oliveira vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
JP
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Peña vs NunesMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Neal vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight
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Kara-France vs GarbrandtMain Card · Flyweight
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O'Malley vs PaivaMain Card · Bantamweight
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Emmett vs IgePreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Cruz vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Tuivasa vs SakaiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Silva vs WrightPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Muniz vs AndersEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Blanchfield vs MaverickEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Hall vs MinnerEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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RC
Kelley vs CostaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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PC
Robertson vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
DP
Oliveira vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
JP
AN
Peña vs NunesMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
GN
SP
Neal vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight
KK
CG
Kara-France vs GarbrandtMain Card · Flyweight
SO
RP
O'Malley vs PaivaMain Card · Bantamweight
JE
DI
Emmett vs IgePreliminary Card · Featherweight
DC
PM
Cruz vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
TT
AS
Tuivasa vs SakaiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BS
JW
Silva vs WrightPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AM
EA
Muniz vs AndersEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
EB
MM
Blanchfield vs MaverickEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
RH
DM
Hall vs MinnerEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
TK
RC
Kelley vs CostaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
GR
PC
Robertson vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Oliveira v Poirier
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Oliveira 36-11
VS
30-9 Poirier
5'10"
height
5'9"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
74"
reach
72"
36
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
3.7
strikes landed / min
5.3
48%
striking accuracy
50%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.3
53%
striking defence
52%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
44%
takedown accuracy
36%
57%
takedown defence
64%
2.1
submissions / 15 min
1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“I think Dustin Poirier has got a better path we've seen Dustin Poirier rocked... but I think Dustin Poirier knocking down Charles Oliveira he goes in for the finish.”
$1.74
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“I think Dustin Poirier has got a better path we've seen Dustin Poirier rocked... but I think Dustin Poirier knocking down Charles Oliveira he goes in for the finish.”
$1.74
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“Charles Oliveira is going to win”
The MMA-Holes picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“Charles Oliveira is going to win”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“i'm thinking Dustin Poirier knocks Charles Oliveira out in the third round”
$1.74
MMA EXPERTS picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“i'm thinking Dustin Poirier knocks Charles Oliveira out in the third round”
$1.74
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“i am actually picking Charles Oliveira outright but in tournaments i'm just splitting it 50 50”
$1.27
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“i am actually picking Charles Oliveira outright but in tournaments i'm just splitting it 50 50”
$1.27
WP
We Want Picks picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I like Charles Oliver to win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I like Charles Oliver to win this fight”
SN
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
AV
Alexander Volkanovski picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“i think Charles Oliveira can definitely catch him and if he catches him and hurts him Dustin Poirier we've seen him shoot when he's in a bit of trouble does he leave the neck there for uh for Charles Oliveira may you leave the neck there for charles Charles Oliveira that's that's game over”
Alexander Volkanovski picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“i think Charles Oliveira can definitely catch him and if he catches him and hurts him Dustin Poirier we've seen him shoot when he's in a bit of trouble does he leave the neck there for uh for Charles Oliveira may you leave the neck there for charles Charles Oliveira that's that's game over”
SO
Suga Sean O'Malley picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“Charles Oliveira is so dangerous”
Suga Sean O'Malley picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“Charles Oliveira is so dangerous”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I'm going to say that right now but it doesn't mean dustin parry can't do it i just think he's got to make it into a real scrap”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“I'm going to say that right now but it doesn't mean dustin parry can't do it i just think he's got to make it into a real scrap”
WP
We Want Picks picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“i have Charles Oliveira winning this fight”
We Want Picks picks Charles Oliveira VALUE
“i have Charles Oliveira winning this fight”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“Dustin Poirier wins this by KO/TKO”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“Dustin Poirier wins this by KO/TKO”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Oliveira36-11
W
Holloway
Mar '26
W
Gamrot
Oct '25
L
Topuria
Jun '25
W
Chandler
Nov '24
L
Tsarukyan
Apr '24
Poirier30-9
L
Holloway
Jul '25
L
Makhachev
Jun '24
W
Denis
Mar '24
L
Gaethje
Jul '23
W
Chandler
Nov '22