UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal poster
2026-04-25 Fight Night: Sterling
Jafel Filho Cody Durden
Top edge matchup Jafel Filho vs Cody Durden
Sharp Signal

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal

2026-04-25 / Las Vegas , Nevada , U.S.

15 priced fights 13 bet candidates 2022 model inputs
Bet candidates 13
High confidence 11
Average bet edge +61.60%
Pick depth 2022
Priority queue

Open these fights first

Cohort rules: top 10% channels, min 250 bets, 55.0% accuracy floor.

01 Bet candidate: Cody Durden 2 model group(s) support the side, 4 total event picks, 0.0% weighted split. +525.00% 6.25 unibet 02 Bet candidate: Adrián Luna Martinetti 2 model group(s) support the side, 43 total event picks, 0.0% weighted split. +110.00% 2.10 draftkings 03 Bet candidate: Aljamain Sterling 3 model group(s) support the side, 204 total event picks, 0.0% weighted split. +39.58% 2.15 betus 04 Bet candidate: Alexander Hernandez 3 model group(s) support the side, 172 total event picks, 0.0% weighted split. +22.66% 1.78 betus 05 Bet candidate: Julia Polastri 3 model group(s) support the side, 173 total event picks, 0.0% weighted split. +21.14% 1.40 tabtouch 06 Bet candidate: Jackson McVey 3 model group(s) support the side, 160 total event picks, 0.0% weighted split. +20.21% 1.52 betonlineag 07 Bet candidate: Max Griffin 2 model group(s) support the side, 104 total event picks, 77.8% weighted split. +18.43% 2.25 nordicbet
Fight Pick Edge Book Depth Confidence
01 Jafel Filho Cody Durden Jafel Filho vs Cody Durden Bantamweight / Preliminary card Cody Durden Bet +525.00% 6.25 UNI AU 4 3 crowd / 0 roi / 1 spec Low 48/100
Book price 6.25 unibet / AU
Unified fair 1.00 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +525.00% 5.0% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 60.60%
ROI cohort 0.00%
Specialists 39.40%
CrowdCody Durden RoiNo side SpecialistCody Durden UnifiedCody Durden

Specialist proof

Fresh Start MMA

Fresh Start MMA -1.66% ROI / 54.05% acc / 372 bets Weight Class: 2.37% ROI over 60 bets

Regional market proof

AU Jafel Filho 1.17 Cody Durden 6.25 tab / unibet
US Jafel Filho 1.15 Cody Durden 6.25 draftkings / betrivers
US2 Jafel Filho 1.14 Cody Durden 6.25 betanysports / betparx
UK Jafel Filho 1.18 Cody Durden 6.25 betway / grosvenor
EU Jafel Filho 1.17 Cody Durden 6.25 coolbet / leovegas_se
Polymarket Jafel Filho 1.20 Cody Durden 5.56 2026-04-24T12:27:29.726196+00:00
02 Davey Grant AL Davey Grant vs Adrián Luna Martinetti Bantamweight / Main card Adrián Luna Martinetti Bet +114.00% 2.14 DRA US 43 37 crowd / 0 roi / 6 spec Medium 69/100
Book price 2.14 draftkings / US
Unified fair 1.00 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +114.00% 5.0% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 68.80%
ROI cohort 0.00%
Specialists 31.20%
CrowdAdrián Luna Martinetti RoiNo side SpecialistAdrián Luna Martinetti UnifiedAdrián Luna Martinetti

Specialist proof

TCMMA Podcast

TCMMA Podcast -10.84% ROI / 54.82% acc / 443 bets Weight Class: 15.25% ROI over 51 bets

Half The Battle

Half The Battle -0.89% ROI / 59.56% acc / 1271 bets Weight Class: -1.65% ROI over 143 bets

Uselyis

Uselyis 0.49% ROI / 63.25% acc / 672 bets Weight Class: -4.17% ROI over 72 bets

Ground"N"Pound Podcast

Ground"N"Pound Podcast -8.83% ROI / 58.22% acc / 486 bets Weight Class: -0.86% ROI over 50 bets

Bert MMA

Bert MMA -2.66% ROI / 59.46% acc / 379 bets Weight Class: 1.36% ROI over 35 bets

Regional market proof

AU Davey Grant 1.79 Adrián Luna Martinetti 2.10 sportsbet / neds
US Davey Grant 1.80 Adrián Luna Martinetti 2.14 betonlineag / draftkings
US2 Davey Grant 1.80 Adrián Luna Martinetti 2.05 betanysports / hardrockbet
UK Davey Grant 1.83 Adrián Luna Martinetti 2.08 betfair_sb_uk / unibet_uk
EU Davey Grant 1.89 Adrián Luna Martinetti 2.10 unibet_se / pinnacle
Polymarket Davey Grant 1.89 Adrián Luna Martinetti 2.08 2026-04-24T12:27:32.715983+00:00
03 Aljamain Sterling Youssef Zalal Aljamain Sterling vs Youssef Zalal Featherweight / Main card Aljamain Sterling Bet +44.13% 2.22 BET US 204 171 crowd / 6 roi / 27 spec High 97/100
Book price 2.22 betus / US
Unified fair 1.54 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +44.13% 5.0% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 54.30%
ROI cohort 23.20%
Specialists 22.60%
CrowdAljamain Sterling RoiAljamain Sterling SpecialistAljamain Sterling UnifiedAljamain Sterling

Specialist proof

Walk The Line MMA

Walk The Line MMA 4.27% ROI / 63.15% acc / 1341 bets Weight Class: 3.69% ROI over 162 bets

Leftlane MMA

Leftlane MMA 8.67% ROI / 66.81% acc / 433 bets Weight Class: 22.75% ROI over 54 bets

Santino DeFranco

Santino DeFranco 5.85% ROI / 60.77% acc / 1074 bets Weight Class: 2.37% ROI over 114 bets

Sherdog.com

Sherdog.com -1.12% ROI / 57.21% acc / 596 bets Weight Class: 8.48% ROI over 61 bets

Artem MMA

Artem MMA 4.68% ROI / 62.68% acc / 1190 bets Weight Class: -1.10% ROI over 131 bets

Regional market proof

AU Aljamain Sterling 2.15 Youssef Zalal 1.78 pointsbetau / unibet
US Aljamain Sterling 2.22 Youssef Zalal 1.78 betus / betrivers
US2 Aljamain Sterling 2.15 Youssef Zalal 1.78 betanysports / ballybet
UK Aljamain Sterling 2.20 Youssef Zalal 1.78 williamhill / grosvenor
EU Aljamain Sterling 2.18 Youssef Zalal 1.78 leovegas_se / unibet_nl
Polymarket Aljamain Sterling 2.22 Youssef Zalal 1.79 2026-04-24T12:27:33.122847+00:00
04 Rafa García Alexander Hernandez Rafa García vs Alexander Hernandez Lightweight / Main card Alexander Hernandez Bet +24.04% 1.80 BET US 172 130 crowd / 6 roi / 36 spec High 97/100
Book price 1.80 betus / US
Unified fair 1.45 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +24.04% 5.0% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 55.20%
ROI cohort 21.60%
Specialists 23.10%
CrowdAlexander Hernandez RoiAlexander Hernandez SpecialistAlexander Hernandez UnifiedAlexander Hernandez

Specialist proof

Uselyis

Uselyis 0.49% ROI / 63.25% acc / 672 bets Weight Class: 12.70% ROI over 97 bets

Leftlane MMA

Leftlane MMA 8.67% ROI / 66.81% acc / 433 bets Weight Class: 17.77% ROI over 77 bets

MMA Lock of the Night

MMA Lock of the Night -1.34% ROI / 61.86% acc / 930 bets Weight Class: 8.99% ROI over 102 bets

Liam Picks Fights

Liam Picks Fights 2.01% ROI / 53.24% acc / 348 bets Weight Class: -7.58% ROI over 43 bets

Walk The Line MMA

Walk The Line MMA 4.27% ROI / 63.15% acc / 1341 bets Weight Class: -0.07% ROI over 191 bets

Regional market proof

AU Rafa García 2.20 Alexander Hernandez 1.78 pointsbetau / betright
US Rafa García 2.15 Alexander Hernandez 1.80 williamhill_us / betus
US2 Rafa García 2.05 Alexander Hernandez 1.80 hardrockbet / betanysports
UK Rafa García 2.10 Alexander Hernandez 1.80 williamhill / betway
EU Rafa García 2.10 Alexander Hernandez 1.79 pinnacle / coolbet
Polymarket Rafa García 2.08 Alexander Hernandez 1.85 2026-04-24T12:27:31.003103+00:00
05 Talita Alencar Julia Polastri Talita Alencar vs Julia Polastri Women'S Strawweight / Preliminary card Julia Polastri Bet +21.14% 1.40 TAB AU 173 109 crowd / 5 roi / 59 spec High 97/100
Book price 1.40 tabtouch / AU
Unified fair 1.16 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +21.14% 5.0% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 55.90%
ROI cohort 20.00%
Specialists 24.10%
CrowdJulia Polastri RoiJulia Polastri SpecialistJulia Polastri UnifiedJulia Polastri

Specialist proof

MMA Lock of the Night

MMA Lock of the Night -1.34% ROI / 61.86% acc / 930 bets Weight Class: 6.56% ROI over 49 bets

Fight Fiend Forecast

Fight Fiend Forecast -2.39% ROI / 58.99% acc / 1101 bets Weight Class: 6.52% ROI over 69 bets

Santino DeFranco

Santino DeFranco 5.85% ROI / 60.77% acc / 1074 bets Weight Class: 4.86% ROI over 67 bets

Walk The Line MMA

Walk The Line MMA 4.27% ROI / 63.15% acc / 1341 bets Weight Class: 0.74% ROI over 83 bets

Sherdog.com

Sherdog.com -1.12% ROI / 57.21% acc / 596 bets Favorite: 0.26% ROI over 286 bets

Regional market proof

AU Talita Alencar 3.21 Julia Polastri 1.40 sportsbet / tabtouch
US Talita Alencar 3.20 Julia Polastri 1.40 bovada / betrivers
US2 Talita Alencar 3.00 Julia Polastri 1.40 betanysports / ballybet
UK Talita Alencar 3.05 Julia Polastri 1.40 sport888 / betway
EU Talita Alencar 3.13 Julia Polastri 1.40 pinnacle / unibet_nl
Polymarket Talita Alencar 3.12 Julia Polastri 1.45 2026-04-24T12:27:30.577566+00:00
06 Jackson McVey Sedriques Dumas Jackson McVey vs Sedriques Dumas Middleweight / Preliminary card Jackson McVey Bet +21.79% 1.54 BET US 160 101 crowd / 3 roi / 56 spec High 97/100
Book price 1.54 betonlineag / US
Unified fair 1.26 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +21.79% 5.0% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 58.40%
ROI cohort 16.20%
Specialists 25.50%
CrowdJackson McVey RoiJackson McVey SpecialistJackson McVey UnifiedJackson McVey

Specialist proof

Walk The Line MMA

Walk The Line MMA 4.27% ROI / 63.15% acc / 1341 bets Weight Class: 2.84% ROI over 150 bets

Santino DeFranco

Santino DeFranco 5.85% ROI / 60.77% acc / 1074 bets Weight Class: 7.55% ROI over 120 bets

We Want Picks

We Want Picks -0.56% ROI / 60.25% acc / 6315 bets Weight Class: -1.19% ROI over 759 bets

Ground"N"Pound Podcast

Ground"N"Pound Podcast -8.83% ROI / 58.22% acc / 486 bets Weight Class: 12.07% ROI over 81 bets

NotSoLethal

NotSoLethal 14.05% ROI / 65.07% acc / 141 bets Favorite: 11.06% ROI over 74 bets

Regional market proof

AU Jackson McVey 1.52 Sedriques Dumas 2.65 unibet / ladbrokes_au
US Jackson McVey 1.54 Sedriques Dumas 2.65 betonlineag / williamhill_us
US2 Jackson McVey 1.54 Sedriques Dumas 2.55 betanysports / ballybet
UK Jackson McVey 1.53 Sedriques Dumas 2.60 betway / williamhill
EU Jackson McVey 1.53 Sedriques Dumas 2.75 pinnacle / nordicbet
Polymarket Jackson McVey 1.59 Sedriques Dumas 2.63 2026-04-24T12:27:34.421608+00:00
07 Max Griffin VV Max Griffin vs Victor Valenzuela Welterweight / Preliminary card Max Griffin Bet +21.06% 2.30 NOR EU 104 80 crowd / 3 roi / 21 spec High 97/100
Book price 2.30 nordicbet / EU
Unified fair 1.90 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +21.06% 5.0% bankroll cap
Split risk 77.75% roi, specialist

Model blend

Crowd 55.50%
ROI cohort 19.20%
Specialists 25.30%
CrowdVictor Valenzuela RoiMax Griffin SpecialistMax Griffin UnifiedMax Griffin

Specialist proof

DFS BY THE NUMBERS

DFS BY THE NUMBERS -3.82% ROI / 57.74% acc / 2780 bets Weight Class: 2.83% ROI over 305 bets

Pub Sports Radio

Pub Sports Radio 1.45% ROI / 57.03% acc / 497 bets Weight Class: 21.30% ROI over 52 bets

PickemMMA

PickemMMA 5.52% ROI / 63.61% acc / 372 bets Weight Class: 4.76% ROI over 37 bets

Hayjive Picks

Hayjive Picks -2.55% ROI / 59.94% acc / 919 bets Weight Class: 0.01% ROI over 112 bets

Rare MMA

Rare MMA 6.96% ROI / 65.41% acc / 334 bets Weight Class: 8.06% ROI over 35 bets

Regional market proof

AU Max Griffin 2.25 Victor Valenzuela 1.70 neds / unibet
US Max Griffin 2.25 Victor Valenzuela 1.74 betmgm / draftkings
US2 Max Griffin 2.16 Victor Valenzuela 1.71 ballybet / betanysports
UK Max Griffin 2.20 Victor Valenzuela 1.73 sport888 / paddypower
EU Max Griffin 2.30 Victor Valenzuela 1.70 nordicbet / unibet_nl
Polymarket Max Griffin 2.27 Victor Valenzuela 1.75 2026-04-24T12:27:33.562044+00:00
08 Marcus Buchecha Ryan Spann Marcus Buchecha vs Ryan Spann Heavyweight / Main card Ryan Spann Bet +11.87% 2.25 COO EU 161 132 crowd / 6 roi / 23 spec High 97/100
Book price 2.25 coolbet / EU
Unified fair 2.01 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +11.87% 4.42% bankroll cap
Split risk 62.30% roi

Model blend

Crowd 53.20%
ROI cohort 24.60%
Specialists 22.20%
CrowdRyan Spann RoiMarcus Buchecha SpecialistRyan Spann UnifiedNo side

Specialist proof

Walk The Line MMA

Walk The Line MMA 4.27% ROI / 63.15% acc / 1341 bets Weight Class: 15.09% ROI over 84 bets

Leftlane MMA

Leftlane MMA 8.67% ROI / 66.81% acc / 433 bets Underdog: 18.37% ROI over 69 bets

Mayo Media Network

Mayo Media Network 3.04% ROI / 60.97% acc / 674 bets Weight Class: 18.52% ROI over 46 bets

Santino DeFranco

Santino DeFranco 5.85% ROI / 60.77% acc / 1074 bets Weight Class: 6.59% ROI over 69 bets

We Want Picks

We Want Picks -0.56% ROI / 60.25% acc / 6315 bets Weight Class: 1.88% ROI over 438 bets

Regional market proof

AU Marcus Buchecha 1.73 Ryan Spann 2.23 tabtouch / sportsbet
US Marcus Buchecha 1.74 Ryan Spann 2.24 betus / fanduel
US2 Marcus Buchecha 1.74 Ryan Spann 2.10 hardrockbet / betparx
UK Marcus Buchecha 1.73 Ryan Spann 2.20 livescorebet / betfair_sb_uk
EU Marcus Buchecha 1.73 Ryan Spann 2.25 pmu_fr / coolbet
Polymarket Marcus Buchecha 1.75 Ryan Spann 2.21 2026-04-24T12:27:34.839178+00:00
09 Francis Marshall LB Francis Marshall vs Lucas Brennan Lightweight / Preliminary card Francis Marshall Bet +10.84% 1.20 BET US 113 69 crowd / 2 roi / 42 spec High 94/100
Book price 1.20 betus / US
Unified fair 1.08 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +10.84% 5.0% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 56.90%
ROI cohort 14.70%
Specialists 28.40%
CrowdFrancis Marshall RoiFrancis Marshall SpecialistFrancis Marshall UnifiedFrancis Marshall

Specialist proof

Leftlane MMA

Leftlane MMA 8.67% ROI / 66.81% acc / 433 bets Weight Class: 17.77% ROI over 77 bets

Uselyis

Uselyis 0.49% ROI / 63.25% acc / 672 bets Weight Class: 12.70% ROI over 97 bets

The Mike Finch Show

The Mike Finch Show 1.37% ROI / 68.12% acc / 226 bets Favorite: 3.31% ROI over 160 bets

MMA EXPERTS

MMA EXPERTS -1.87% ROI / 58.74% acc / 4801 bets Weight Class: 2.53% ROI over 618 bets

DFS BY THE NUMBERS

DFS BY THE NUMBERS -3.82% ROI / 57.74% acc / 2780 bets Weight Class: -1.81% ROI over 365 bets

Regional market proof

AU Francis Marshall 1.19 Lucas Brennan 5.50 betr_au / pointsbetau
US Francis Marshall 1.20 Lucas Brennan 5.50 betus / betrivers
US2 Francis Marshall 1.20 Lucas Brennan 5.50 betanysports / ballybet
UK Francis Marshall 1.20 Lucas Brennan 5.50 betway / grosvenor
EU Francis Marshall 1.20 Lucas Brennan 5.55 coolbet / nordicbet
Polymarket Francis Marshall 1.22 Lucas Brennan 4.76 2026-04-24T12:27:31.413122+00:00
10 Mayra Bueno Silva MM Mayra Bueno Silva vs Michelle Montague Women'S Bantamweight / Preliminary card Michelle Montague Bet +11.57% 1.29 WIL UK 167 104 crowd / 3 roi / 60 spec High 97/100
Book price 1.29 williamhill / UK
Unified fair 1.16 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +11.57% 5.0% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 58.40%
ROI cohort 16.20%
Specialists 25.50%
CrowdMichelle Montague RoiMichelle Montague SpecialistMichelle Montague UnifiedMichelle Montague

Specialist proof

MMA Lock of the Night

MMA Lock of the Night -1.34% ROI / 61.86% acc / 930 bets Underdog: 8.77% ROI over 181 bets

We Want Picks

We Want Picks -0.56% ROI / 60.25% acc / 6315 bets Weight Class: 14.38% ROI over 172 bets

Clenbat

Clenbat -0.89% ROI / 60.52% acc / 1810 bets Weight Class: 26.89% ROI over 56 bets

Fight Fiend Forecast

Fight Fiend Forecast -2.39% ROI / 58.99% acc / 1101 bets Favorite: 3.30% ROI over 587 bets

The Mike Finch Show

The Mike Finch Show 1.37% ROI / 68.12% acc / 226 bets Favorite: 3.31% ROI over 160 bets

Regional market proof

AU Mayra Bueno Silva 4.40 Michelle Montague 1.25 neds / tab
US Mayra Bueno Silva 4.40 Michelle Montague 1.25 betmgm / draftkings
US2 Mayra Bueno Silva 4.00 Michelle Montague 1.25 hardrockbet / hardrockbet
UK Mayra Bueno Silva 4.00 Michelle Montague 1.29 livescorebet / williamhill
EU Mayra Bueno Silva 4.30 Michelle Montague 1.26 betsson / coolbet
Polymarket Mayra Bueno Silva 4.35 Michelle Montague 1.26 2026-04-24T12:27:32.269978+00:00
11 Rodolfo Vieira Eric McConico Rodolfo Vieira vs Eric McConico Middleweight / Preliminary card Rodolfo Vieira Bet +7.74% 1.37 COO EU 149 95 crowd / 4 roi / 50 spec High 97/100
Book price 1.37 coolbet / EU
Unified fair 1.27 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +7.74% 5.0% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 57.10%
ROI cohort 18.30%
Specialists 24.70%
CrowdRodolfo Vieira RoiRodolfo Vieira SpecialistRodolfo Vieira UnifiedRodolfo Vieira

Specialist proof

Santino DeFranco

Santino DeFranco 5.85% ROI / 60.77% acc / 1074 bets Weight Class: 7.55% ROI over 120 bets

Walk The Line MMA

Walk The Line MMA 4.27% ROI / 63.15% acc / 1341 bets Weight Class: 2.84% ROI over 150 bets

PickemMMA

PickemMMA 5.52% ROI / 63.61% acc / 372 bets Weight Class: 14.90% ROI over 51 bets

We Want Picks

We Want Picks -0.56% ROI / 60.25% acc / 6315 bets Weight Class: -1.19% ROI over 759 bets

Uselyis

Uselyis 0.49% ROI / 63.25% acc / 672 bets Weight Class: 1.26% ROI over 85 bets

Regional market proof

AU Rodolfo Vieira 1.35 Eric McConico 3.40 sportsbet / playup
US Rodolfo Vieira 1.36 Eric McConico 3.55 fanduel / betonlineag
US2 Rodolfo Vieira 1.33 Eric McConico 3.40 hardrockbet / hardrockbet
UK Rodolfo Vieira 1.36 Eric McConico 3.35 paddypower / livescorebet
EU Rodolfo Vieira 1.37 Eric McConico 3.55 coolbet / nordicbet
Polymarket Rodolfo Vieira 1.37 Eric McConico 3.57 2026-04-24T12:27:31.829790+00:00
12 Montel Jackson Raoni Barcelos Montel Jackson vs Raoni Barcelos Bantamweight / Main card Raoni Barcelos Bet +6.84% 2.60 BET US 179 120 crowd / 6 roi / 53 spec High 97/100
Book price 2.60 betonlineag / US
Unified fair 2.43 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +6.84% 1.54% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 55.00%
ROI cohort 21.50%
Specialists 23.50%
CrowdMontel Jackson RoiNo side SpecialistMontel Jackson UnifiedMontel Jackson

Specialist proof

Artem MMA

Artem MMA 4.68% ROI / 62.68% acc / 1190 bets Weight Class: 17.24% ROI over 130 bets

MMA EXPERTS

MMA EXPERTS -1.87% ROI / 58.74% acc / 4801 bets Weight Class: 9.75% ROI over 533 bets

Walk The Line MMA

Walk The Line MMA 4.27% ROI / 63.15% acc / 1341 bets Weight Class: 2.34% ROI over 130 bets

Mayo Media Network

Mayo Media Network 3.04% ROI / 60.97% acc / 674 bets Weight Class: 5.58% ROI over 63 bets

Rare MMA

Rare MMA 6.96% ROI / 65.41% acc / 334 bets Weight Class: 32.53% ROI over 39 bets

Regional market proof

AU Montel Jackson 1.55 Raoni Barcelos 2.55 sportsbet / ladbrokes_au
US Montel Jackson 1.56 Raoni Barcelos 2.60 bovada / betonlineag
US2 Montel Jackson 1.54 Raoni Barcelos 2.55 betanysports / betanysports
UK Montel Jackson 1.57 Raoni Barcelos 2.55 betfair_sb_uk / sport888
EU Montel Jackson 1.58 Raoni Barcelos 2.55 onexbet / coolbet
Polymarket Montel Jackson 1.61 Raoni Barcelos 2.56 2026-04-24T12:27:30.127829+00:00
13 Norma Dumont Joselyne Edwards Norma Dumont vs Joselyne Edwards Women'S Bantamweight / Main card Norma Dumont Bet +8.32% 1.50 BET UK 194 128 crowd / 6 roi / 60 spec High 97/100
Book price 1.50 betfair_sb_uk / UK
Unified fair 1.38 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge +8.32% 4.53% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 54.90%
ROI cohort 21.50%
Specialists 23.60%
CrowdNorma Dumont RoiNorma Dumont SpecialistNorma Dumont UnifiedNorma Dumont

Specialist proof

MMA Lock of the Night

MMA Lock of the Night -1.34% ROI / 61.86% acc / 930 bets Underdog: 8.77% ROI over 181 bets

We Want Picks

We Want Picks -0.56% ROI / 60.25% acc / 6315 bets Weight Class: 14.38% ROI over 172 bets

Mayo Media Network

Mayo Media Network 3.04% ROI / 60.97% acc / 674 bets Underdog: 8.89% ROI over 186 bets

Santino DeFranco

Santino DeFranco 5.85% ROI / 60.77% acc / 1074 bets Favorite: 0.37% ROI over 535 bets

Bedtime MMA

Bedtime MMA -3.88% ROI / 59.69% acc / 297 bets Favorite: 1.88% ROI over 162 bets

Regional market proof

AU Norma Dumont 1.44 Joselyne Edwards 3.00 betright / tab
US Norma Dumont 1.49 Joselyne Edwards 2.94 williamhill_us / fanduel
US2 Norma Dumont 1.48 Joselyne Edwards 2.90 betanysports / betparx
UK Norma Dumont 1.50 Joselyne Edwards 2.90 betfair_sb_uk / leovegas
EU Norma Dumont 1.48 Joselyne Edwards 3.00 pinnacle / leovegas_se
Polymarket Norma Dumont 1.53 Joselyne Edwards 2.78 2026-04-24T12:27:34.000458+00:00
14 Davey Grant JA Davey Grant vs Juan Adrián Luna Martinetti Bantamweight / Main card Davey Grant No bet -% - - 97 77 crowd / 5 roi / 15 spec Low 40/100
Book price - - / -
Unified fair 1.25 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge -% 0% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 55.20%
ROI cohort 21.30%
Specialists 23.40%
CrowdDavey Grant RoiDavey Grant SpecialistDavey Grant UnifiedDavey Grant

Specialist proof

MMA EXPERTS

MMA EXPERTS -1.87% ROI / 58.74% acc / 4801 bets Weight Class: 9.75% ROI over 533 bets

138 MMA

138 MMA -1.60% ROI / 60.57% acc / 648 bets Weight Class: 22.17% ROI over 66 bets

Walk The Line MMA

Walk The Line MMA 4.27% ROI / 63.15% acc / 1341 bets Weight Class: 2.34% ROI over 130 bets

Sherdog.com

Sherdog.com -1.12% ROI / 57.21% acc / 596 bets Weight Class: 14.36% ROI over 56 bets

TCMMA Podcast

TCMMA Podcast -10.84% ROI / 54.82% acc / 443 bets Weight Class: 15.25% ROI over 51 bets

Regional market proof

Polymarket Davey Grant 1.85 Juan Adrián Luna Martinetti 2.13 2026-04-21T00:27:26.951485+00:00
15 Jafel Filho Lucas Rocha Jafel Filho vs Lucas Rocha Flyweight / Preliminary card Jafel Filho No bet -% - - 102 88 crowd / 3 roi / 11 spec Low 40/100
Book price - - / -
Unified fair 1.00 Blended crowd, ROI, and specialists
Model edge -% 0% bankroll cap
Split risk 0.00% models aligned

Model blend

Crowd 58.70%
ROI cohort 19.40%
Specialists 21.90%
CrowdJafel Filho RoiJafel Filho SpecialistJafel Filho UnifiedJafel Filho

Specialist proof

MMA EXPERTS

MMA EXPERTS -1.87% ROI / 58.74% acc / 4801 bets Weight Class: 5.11% ROI over 319 bets

DFS BY THE NUMBERS

DFS BY THE NUMBERS -3.82% ROI / 57.74% acc / 2780 bets Weight Class: 3.30% ROI over 169 bets

Santino DeFranco

Santino DeFranco 5.85% ROI / 60.77% acc / 1074 bets Weight Class: 13.72% ROI over 67 bets

MMA Lock of the Night

MMA Lock of the Night -1.34% ROI / 61.86% acc / 930 bets Weight Class: 8.34% ROI over 76 bets

Walk The Line MMA

Walk The Line MMA 4.27% ROI / 63.15% acc / 1341 bets Weight Class: 5.02% ROI over 86 bets

Regional market proof

Polymarket Jafel Filho 1.96 Lucas Rocha 2.00 2026-04-20T12:27:24.028056+00:00
Specialist registry Expand for the real channels feeding specialist weights.

Underdog specialists

Artem MMA29.43% ROI / -% acc / 203 bets

BetSam19.01% ROI / -% acc / 146 bets

Free Picks PickDawgz39.72% ROI / -% acc / 67 bets

Walk The Line MMA14.85% ROI / -% acc / 256 bets

JohnnyKpicks34.62% ROI / -% acc / 67 bets

PickemMMA25.29% ROI / -% acc / 83 bets

Favorite specialists

RotoWire MMA / UFC9.27% ROI / 80.25% acc / 157 bets

The Rambling Dad7.74% ROI / 79.57% acc / 186 bets

Leftlane MMA7.05% ROI / 77.42% acc / 279 bets

Pro Schmo BETS ®6.19% ROI / 77.78% acc / 189 bets

MMA JOEY4.72% ROI / 77.00% acc / 287 bets

Pick Pocket Podcast 4.76% ROI / 76.83% acc / 164 bets

Style specialists

Backtest proof Loading backtest...

Strategy ROI comparison

Cumulative units by month

Coverage and disagreement

Realism audit

Cohort diagnostics
Recent backtest fights
Date Fight Crowd ROI Top 10% Specialists Unified Winner