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UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · breakdown

UFC 298 Early Card Predictions Volkanovski vs Topuria #ufc298

MB MMA Badger61% hit
29 months ago 5W–1L · +1.7u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
RN Rinya Nakamura v Carlos Vera MONEYLINE WON
“so Rena is the pick next fight we got Amanda Lemos and McKenzie d i put big money on D in our last fight against Andrea Andrea Lee and I was so disappointed she changed camps or some [ __ ] and she just looked terrible zero IQ she looked terrible I just can't put my money on her I I can't be dealing with inconsistent Fighters and she's always like talking about her divorce and all that I'm picking am Amanda lamos I think that she's going to knock her the [ __ ] out just like andrj did Amanda Lemos she has strong hands she has heavy hands she can knock out people she can knock out D who already been knocked out and and like her her ability to take people down like is is not there she couldn't take Andrea Andrea Lee down she got knocked out she's she's not consistent I hate Fighters like that and Amanda Lemos she has good record she just you know she fight for the championship against Zen and like Zhang Mingyang just you know ground and pounded her for for five rounds but when it was standing it was a problem for Zen so I'm picking Amanda Lemos probably by knockout and that's it I just can't put my money on D anymore next fight we got Josh Quinlan and Danny Barlow this is going to be an interesting fight when you look at both of are Strikers okay both are Strikers but man Danny Barlo if you guys haven't seen him on Contender he fought Raheem forest and he just knocked him the [ __ ] out that's why they call him left H to God that's his nickname listen both are Strikers Trey Waters was never finished but you know there's always a first time like he Lo sorry I'm s Trey Waters he lost to Trey Waters Josh kinin was never finished you can see that most of his wins are coming by knockout but man I just think Donnie Baro is is on another level this is going to be an uh a very competitive fight B are good sters Strikers but I'm gonna I'm going to give it to J to to left him to God just because he has such a sick nickname I'll give give it to him but I'm probably say I'm not going to bet this fight but I'm probably going to pick him next fight we got trishan Gore and AJ doson I'm not fully like impressed by any of them you know again you got a striker and you got like when you look at trishan Gore record he has he he lost to Brundage he lost unanimous decision to Brian Bal he won against friend you know with with a with a guiltin choke but friend was never that good and Dobson like he lost to Arman petan he he lost to Jacob Malon he won against uh ton however he says his last name to be honest I don't know what's going to happen here um I'm G to say that this this fight will go the distance that's what I'm going to say I'm not going to pick any of the guys just know that you know Trish and Gore is tough both are tough I'm saying it's going to go the distance I'm not piing a winner that's my pick for this fight next card we we got Val Woodburn and Oben Elliot so I I've seen like when I don't know if you guys have seen uh Obin Elliott's fight he fought on Contender against Kai Breo and man this guy has heart because he was losing the first round but then he came back into it and and and he won he went on a very heavy grappling and he makes the the Striking as well and Val woodor man like people were actually expecting him to win against Bo nickel and Bo nickel just knocked him the [ __ ] out just first round I'm not too too excited about Val Woodburn he came with an undefeated record but you cannot compare the regional scene to the UFC you just can't okay you can't like he won like he was fighting at com combat night Pro I don't know he just he didn't look this that good when you look at I I I'll be honest I wasn't that impressed by Oban Elliott as well in his Contender series but he showed he has heart like he was talking like he's coming from an A much upper purpose he was talking about his father all the time so I I'll give it to him just because he has heart I'm going to pick Oban Elliottt I'm not going to bet this fight I I have a rule I told you in the last card I just I'm betting on Fighters that already you know showed and proved themselves to be what people think they are so that's my pick Oban Elliottt but I'm not going to put any money here next fight we got Andrea Lee and Miranda Maverick this is another over because just because Andrea Le is so tough and Maverick is so tough as well I'm gonna give it to Miranda Maverick the reason I'm G I'm picking Maverick is just because it seems like you know the time and age is is not doing well to Andre Ali kbe she just she didn't look good in her last she she's a a three F losing streak yeah tough competition like Macy Barber Natalia Silva Vivan arujo but it just seems like it's it's a downhill from here and uranda Maverick she's she's good man she's she's really good she's tough she has good wrestling and I'm just I'm I'm saying it's going to go over I'm not trying to pick a winner just because I think Miranda Maverick is going to win but if you ask me what's the smart bat bet here it's going to be the over 100% this is the this is my pick next fight we got Zhang Mingyang and Branson re riberio so Branson riberio was actually a very very big dog against his comp competition on Contender which was Bruno Lopez and he knocked him first round like it was very close any of them could knock the the other out because both are super dangerous and you know who he's going against he's going against another knockout machine from China this time the mountain tiger Ming yangang Zhang Mingyang and I'm again I'm not choosing a winner here we're here to make money we're here to make bets that cash so you want to know what I'm picking here yeah I'm picking the the the under under 2.5 this fight is not going the distance you are looking at two extremely extremely aggressive Fighters with power in both hands okay always wins always his wins came by first round knockout or by first round submission yeah he went to a decision he went he lost by submission but even most of his losses are in this in the first and second round so this is just uh easy under in my opinion just because both are so aggressive and that's that's my pick for this fight what we got next we got Marcus rogerio rerio Del Lima and Junior Tafa I'm picking the limma just because he's a good fighter in his last fight against uh what's his name he fought against Derek Lewis and Lewis I actually put money on Lewis and Lewis just went with a flying knee broke his teeth like just ended the fight so fast and now we have Junior Tafa who's a very heavy-handed fighter like in his last fight which was uh rematch against Austin Lane he knocked him the [ __ ] out he just you know he's vicious those island people are strong and you can see here five five tko's first round he also got knocked out as well in the first round by someone by yorgan the Castro and Marcus Del Lima is again is also he's he's a dangerous Striker okay we got two dangerous Strikers but I I'll just say that I feel that Marcus Del Lima is is just a bit better everywhere compared to tafa he has more experience and all that so I'm just I'm just going to be picking the under I'm going to be picking the under if if I would bet this fight it would be the under just just because both are heavy-handed that that fight can end in any moment whoever finds the chin it's over so I'll I'll say Lima is winning but I'm GNA say he's going to do it under 2.5 rounds that that's my pick and now starting the main card we got Roman Kopylov and Anthony Hernandez I feel bad for picking fluffy here just because I made so much money on betting on copy he was very good to me the thing is Fluffy is a menace on the ground like he [ __ ] submitted Carlos Vera who's like he was a world champion like an ADC however you say it he was like the champion in the highest leagues of BJJ and he not and he submitted him it was because he was G this [ __ ] but it's it's something right the thing about copy love is if it stays standing like it's copula of all day but fluffy is too smart to keep it standing fluffy has good wrestling and he's going to take it to the mat he's going to take it to the ground and he's going to submit copy love I'm I'm I feel bad because I like copy love but I just don't see him winning here unless he somehow like manages to head kick knock out fluffy I don't see any way for copy love to win okay so my pick is Fluffy I don't know where cop love of takedown defense is as well like he's improving his takedown defense all the time but the thing about Hernandez he's he's Relentless with his wrestling he's Relentless he's going to find him he's going to find like the single leg the double leg he's going to take him down and he's going to submit him so my pick is Anthony Hernandez also something important to to lay lay out is that copy love is coming short notice he he should have fought uh the other dagistan guy and copy love entered instead of him so that's not good for copy love obviously next fight we got Geoff Neal and Ian Machado Gary we're looking at two Strikers two very good Strikers okay now who is the better Striker Ian Mado Gary is the better Striker 100% he's the better Striker and he's going to win jofel is is's he's strong he's he's he's a good Striker obviously but just Ian Machado Gary is just better that's it the only concern I have with Gary is his mental state you know we had all the wag [ __ ] thing going on with his wife and like everyone essentially hopping on the train of talking [ __ ] to him so I really don't know how he's going to be mentally I I guess he's going to be fine because that's what he does he's training all the time like he's been there it's been a while since like it cooled down a bit so I'll say that mentally is going to be he going to be okay my pick is Ian Gary to win probably by a hardfought decision or by knockout okay that's my pick next fight we got Henry Cejudo and marab deales I'm picking Triple C guys I'm picking Triple C you know I picked meab against Yan but it that fight favored meab stylistically because Peter Yan is not that good of a wrestler or have has a good wrestling defense and it was five rounds where meab can utilize his Third Lung but seudo he's the Olympic gold medalist we're talking about the highest level of wrestling okay there's levels to this game meab would not be able to do to Triple C what he did to Peter yon it's not going to happen Triple C is a good has good wrestling defense so obviously he can take meup down as well and he can win I'm picking cejudo but if you want uh a smarter Choice a smarter pick I'll say the over both are good wrestlers both has good have good stamina both are really well-rounded so I'm going to pick the over but you know you're getting good odds for for Mr cejudo let's see yeah you get 265 for Henry cejudo who had a split decision with meab meb's brother alio Sterling so I don't know I I you get good value you get good value for uh cejudo here and I I like that value so yeah I'm gonna I'm going to say cejudo is winning but the smart the smart pick here would be the over next fight we got Robert Whittaker and Pao Costa this is something this is very hard for me to pick just because like Paulo Costa when was his last fight his last fight was one year and five months ago he won against Luke rockold who's already been his like he's already old and like past his Prime and he won he lost to victori Lost to Adisa and Rober Robert Whittaker lost by K TKO to J dupy I lost a lot of money in that fight unfortunately I can't forget it I'm picking Robert Whittaker I'm saying he's going to win he was like the Dark Horse like more than the Dark Horse in that division the fact that he lost to D dup C does not change who he is I'm feeling is going to come back even better and I'm going to I'm going to pick Whitaker how much do we get for Whitaker he obviously the favorite 148 for whiter 2.8 for Paulo Costa but I wouldn't fade Costa because Costa can be very dangerous he's a good Striker he's overall a good good fighter so I'm going to pick Whitaker I'm probably not gonna bet this fight I'm gonna pick Whitaker to win that's my pick now for the main event five rounds we got Alexander volkanovski against Ilia tupua Alexander volkanovski just lost three months ago to Islam makach by a a vicious vicious vicious headkick I was I was terrified when I saw that like I felt so bad for Alexander volkanovski and before that he he seemed like it seemed like he has no weakness and now Ilia Topuria is coming El M Mador paragan but I'm I'm picking volkanovski I don't think that Ilia Toria is the level of makev in any way he's a he's is a good boxer he's a good Greek Roman wrestler but Alexander volkanovski outstruck Yi Rodriguez he out outstruck Max holay he's a very smart Striker Ilia Toria is more of a boxer like he's not really utilizing his kicking a lot like at least high kicks and all that and he's not gonna like Alexander Volkanovski just because he had those fights against makev he improved his wrestling so much I don't see that as a threat as well and volkanovski is strong you know he's strong physically they're about the same size volkanovski has the reach Advantage so I'm I'm picking vul I'm picking vul I I like Ilia Topuria but we've seen that like in his fight against Jay Herbert although he won Herbert hurt him right we saw that way with that head kick it was a a vicious head kick and he went down and like things can happen you know he's not he's still a human I'm piing volkanovski he's also the favorite in this fight he's not yeah he's not that a big of a favorites like a coin TOS 187 195 191 181 I'm picking vul I think he can win this especially full Camp driven vul and one more thing that I don't like is that Elia is talking [ __ ] you know he's very confident but there's there's like there's times that you just just stay humble I personally don't like when Fighters Bose too much just usually doesn't end well I'm picking volkanovski I'm saying he's going to win but it's going to be a tough fight the over is probably live here as well you want to do them the Smart Pick here is going to be the over okay now let's let's talk about let's have a safety parlay section I know you guys like safety so let's do a sa safety parlay for this card you want safety I like Reen Nakamura to win I like the over with Andre Andrea Lee and Miranda Maverick okay so we got reenan Nakamura here we got the over for lean Maverick and we got the under for Branson riberio and mingyang Zen this is my safety parlay we got Nakamura we got the under we got sorry we got the over with Andrea Lee and Maverick and we got the under with Zhang Mingyang and riberio that's my safety parley guys if you enjoy this content like the video subscribe to the channel it helps me to spread this video in the YouTube realm also if you want to get more I'd say better analysis about my picks why I pick them and all that make sure you're follow me on Twitter I'm posting there mostly I'm I'm not really active on Instagram so it's Twitter and YouTube so you can follow me at Badger bats MMA that's it guys if you have any more commentary if you want to share your pics if you have any recommendation how I can improve the videos let me know in the in the comments section below and that's it I'll see you in the next one”
Line since pick CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.14 close$1.08
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
JQ Josh Quinlan v Danny Barlow MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm gonna I'm going to give it to J to to left him to God just because he has such a sick nickname I'll give give it to him but I'm probably say I'm not going to bet this fight but I'm probably going to pick him”
Line since pick CLV −9%
◆ entry$2.60 close$2.85
entry: NordicBet · best in any region at publish
OE Oban Elliott v Val Woodburn MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to pick Oban Elliottt I'm not going to bet this fight I I have a rule I told you in the last card I just I'm betting on Fighters that already you know showed and proved themselves to be what people think they are so that's my pick Oban Elliottt but I'm not going to put any money here”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.38 close$1.35
entry: betPARX · best in any region at publish
MM Miranda Maverick v Andrea Lee MONEYLINE WON
“I'm gonna give it to Miranda Maverick the reason I'm G I'm picking Maverick is just because it seems like you know the time and age is is not doing well to Andre Ali kbe she just she didn't look good in her last she she's a a three F losing streak yeah tough competition like Macy Barber Natalia Silva Vivan arujo but it just seems like it's it's a downhill from here and uranda Maverick she's she's good man she's she's really good she's tough she has good wrestling and I'm just I'm I'm saying it's going to go over I'm not trying to pick a winner just because I think Miranda Maverick is going to win but if you ask me what's the smart bat bet here it's going to be the over 100% this is the this is my pick”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.53 close$1.58
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
AH Anthony Hernandez v Roman Kopylov MONEYLINE WON
“so my pick is Anthony Hernandez also something important to to lay lay out is that copy love is coming short notice he he should have fought uh the other dagistan guy and copy love entered instead of him so that's not good for copy love obviously”
Line since pick CLV +8%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.45
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
IT Ilia Topuria v Alexander Volkanovski MONEYLINE WON
“I'm picking volkanovski I don't think that Ilia Toria is the level of makev in any way he's a he's is a good boxer he's a good Greek Roman wrestler but Alexander volkanovski outstruck Yi Rodriguez he out outstruck Max holay he's a very smart Striker Ilia Toria is more of a boxer like he's not really utilizing his kicking a lot like at least high kicks and all that and he's not gonna like Alexander Volkanovski just because he had those fights against makev he improved his wrestling so much I don't see that as a threat as well and volkanovski is strong you know he's strong physically they're about the same size volkanovski has the reach Advantage so I'm I'm picking vul I'm picking vul”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.06 close$2.12
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish