MMA Prophecy
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UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Jones v Gane Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus35 picks · conf 58/99
Jones 28
7 Gane
HM1M1T pick Jones
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jones 28-1 VS 13-2 Gane
6'4" height 6'4"
238 lb weight 248 lb
85" reach 81"
38 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 5.5
52% striking accuracy 60%
2.2 strikes absorbed / min 2.2
61% striking defence 63%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
43% takedown accuracy 21%
95% takedown defence 50%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Jon Jones VALUE “for my final prediction I'm gonna go with Jon Jones”
DS Dynes Sports picks Jon Jones “I got Jon Jones getting the win this weekend.”
WP We Want Picks picks Ciryl Gane VALUE “I think Ciryl Gane wins”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jon Jones VALUE “I'm picking him to get it done and new and still the greatest of all time” $1.61
CO Covers picks Ciryl Gane VALUE “give me Ciryl Gane at plus money”
KU Kunath picks Jon Jones VALUE “you know that Bo nickel will win”
CD Cappers Direct picks Jon Jones VALUE “I'm taking Jon Jones”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Jon Jones VALUE “I'm pretty confident that Jon Jon Jones gets it done”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Jon Jones “I got Jon Jones man he's gonna make I'm I'm confident Jon Jones man ... Jon Jones minus 172” $1.58
AM Artem MMA picks Jon Jones “I personally think this person wins I think this is gonna do this”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Ciryl Gane VALUE “I'm picking cereal again”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Jon Jones “yeah I'm gonna go John with John Jones” $1.20
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jones28-1
W Miocic KO/TKO · R3 Nov '24
W Gane Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Reyes Decision · R5 Feb '20
W Santos Decision · R5 Jul '19
W Smith Decision · R5 Mar '19
Gane13-2
W Pereira KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Volkov Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Spivac KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
L Jones Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Tuivasa KO/TKO · R3 Sep '22