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Barboza vs QuarantilloMain Card · Featherweight
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Murzakanov vs JacobyMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Munhoz vs GutiérrezMain Card · Bantamweight
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García vs GuidaMain Card · Lightweight
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Algeo vs BrownPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Royval vs NicolauPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Cummings vs HermanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Robertson vs RodríguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Zellhuber vs VannataPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Royval v Nicolau
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Royval 17-7
VS
19-6-1 Nicolau
5'9"
height
5'6"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
68"
reach
66"
33
age
33
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
3.3
39%
striking accuracy
51%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
47%
striking defence
65%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
75%
takedown accuracy
43%
45%
takedown defence
90%
1.2
submissions / 15 min
0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“I've been pretty confident on Matheus Nicolau all week... I'm picking nickel out a win”
$1.53
MMA EXPERTS picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“I've been pretty confident on Matheus Nicolau all week... I'm picking nickel out a win”
$1.53
WP
We Want Picks picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“I think he wins I think he probably wins by finish because if matosh nikolao beats Brandon Brandon Royval Brandon Royval well the odds tell us playing the boy Val gets finished in losses so I like him to win I'm going to spend the 9100”
We Want Picks picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“I think he wins I think he probably wins by finish because if matosh nikolao beats Brandon Brandon Royval Brandon Royval well the odds tell us playing the boy Val gets finished in losses so I like him to win I'm going to spend the 9100”
WP
We Want Picks picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“Patel nicolao can win um by finish Brandon Royval gets finished and all of his losses I think Matheus Nicolau wins so we'll go ahead and add that”
We Want Picks picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“Patel nicolao can win um by finish Brandon Royval gets finished and all of his losses I think Matheus Nicolau wins so we'll go ahead and add that”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“I'd probably go for rival on the price because I think it's a toss of a coin”
Sherdog.com picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“I'd probably go for rival on the price because I think it's a toss of a coin”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“give me a nickel out 9100 I think he's very much so in player all right Underdog time”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“give me a nickel out 9100 I think he's very much so in player all right Underdog time”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brandon Royval VALUE
“Brandon Roy have off 7100 I think is one of the more intriguing Underdog plays on the Slate just because he's so cheap and he has that finished upside”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brandon Royval VALUE
“Brandon Roy have off 7100 I think is one of the more intriguing Underdog plays on the Slate just because he's so cheap and he has that finished upside”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Brandon Royval VALUE
“I think I would probably go Brandon Royval on this one”
Santino DeFranco picks Brandon Royval VALUE
“I think I would probably go Brandon Royval on this one”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Matheus Nicolau
“I gotta go with Matthews to get this one done I don't know if it's gonna be a finish I'm just gonna take it money line”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Matheus Nicolau
“I gotta go with Matthews to get this one done I don't know if it's gonna be a finish I'm just gonna take it money line”
BD
Big Dave picks Brandon Royval
“I'm gonna go by third round TKO”
Big Dave picks Brandon Royval
“I'm gonna go by third round TKO”
WP
We Want Picks picks Brandon Royval VALUE
“I'm picking them to go the distance”
We Want Picks picks Brandon Royval VALUE
“I'm picking them to go the distance”
WP
We Want Picks picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“They are the clear pick here”
We Want Picks picks Matheus Nicolau VALUE
“They are the clear pick here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Royval17-7
L
Kape
Dec '25
L
Van
Jun '25
W
Taira
Oct '24
W
Moreno
Feb '24
L
Pantoja
Dec '23
Nicolau19-6-1
L
Almabayev
Oct '24
L
Perez
Apr '24
L
Royval
Apr '23
W
Schnell
Dec '22
W
Dvořák
Mar '22