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KU
Edwards vs UsmanMain Card · Welterweight
JG
RF
Gaethje vs FizievMain Card · Lightweight
GN
BB
Nelson vs BarberenaMain Card · Welterweight
JM
CO
Maia vs O'NeillMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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RD
Vettori vs DolidzeMain Card · Middleweight
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Shore vs AmirkhaniPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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OM
Duncan vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Ashmouz vs PattersonPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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JF
Mokaev vs FilhoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Murphy vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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DT
Duncan vs TodorovićEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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MG
Hadley vs GordonEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
JW
LC
Wood vs CarolinaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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ĽK
Herbert vs KleinEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
VH
JM
Hardy vs MillerEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KU
Edwards vs UsmanMain Card · Welterweight
JG
RF
Gaethje vs FizievMain Card · Lightweight
GN
BB
Nelson vs BarberenaMain Card · Welterweight
JM
CO
Maia vs O'NeillMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
MV
RD
Vettori vs DolidzeMain Card · Middleweight
JS
MA
Shore vs AmirkhaniPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CD
OM
Duncan vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
YA
SP
Ashmouz vs PattersonPreliminary Card · Lightweight
MM
JF
Mokaev vs FilhoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
LM
GS
Murphy vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
CD
DT
Duncan vs TodorovićEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
JH
MG
Hadley vs GordonEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
JW
LC
Wood vs CarolinaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
JH
ĽK
Herbert vs KleinEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
VH
JM
Hardy vs MillerEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Edwards v Usman
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Edwards 22-5
VS
20-4 Usman
6'2"
height
6'0"
171 lb
weight
171 lb
74"
reach
76"
34
age
39
Southpaw
stance
Switch
3.9
strikes landed / min
4.4
48%
striking accuracy
52%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
60%
striking defence
54%
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
2.8
39%
takedown accuracy
45%
73%
takedown defence
89%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FS
Final Round Sports picks Kamaru Usman
“I personally was going to pick Kamaru Usman over fantasy points against Leon Edwards”
Final Round Sports picks Kamaru Usman
“I personally was going to pick Kamaru Usman over fantasy points against Leon Edwards”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“nice discount on Camaro Kamaru Usman ... move so I'm on Kamaru Usman I'm probably gonna take a”
$1.41
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“nice discount on Camaro Kamaru Usman ... move so I'm on Kamaru Usman I'm probably gonna take a”
$1.41
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Kamaru Usman
“I'm picking Kamaru oozman if you had to bet it you bet uzman money line”
$3.15
MMA EXPERTS picks Kamaru Usman
“I'm picking Kamaru oozman if you had to bet it you bet uzman money line”
$3.15
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Kamaru Usman
“I'm picking the side of Kamal uzman to beat Leon Leon Edwards”
$1.45
MMA EXPERTS picks Kamaru Usman
“I'm picking the side of Kamal uzman to beat Leon Leon Edwards”
$1.45
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Kamaru Usman
“Kamaru Usman money line one I think Kamaru Usman gets the belt Edwards I got Kamaru Usman”
$1.50
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Kamaru Usman
“Kamaru Usman money line one I think Kamaru Usman gets the belt Edwards I got Kamaru Usman”
$1.50
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kamaru Usman
“the simulations have Kamaru Kamaru Usman regaining the Welterweight Title winning three out of five simulations”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kamaru Usman
“the simulations have Kamaru Kamaru Usman regaining the Welterweight Title winning three out of five simulations”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“the simulations have Kamaru Kamaru Usman regaining the Welterweight Title winning three out of five simulations”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“the simulations have Kamaru Kamaru Usman regaining the Welterweight Title winning three out of five simulations”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“the simulations have Kamaru Usman regaining the EVENT_DETAILS winning three out of five simulations”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“the simulations have Kamaru Usman regaining the EVENT_DETAILS winning three out of five simulations”
M👊
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kamaru Usman
“Kamaru Kamaru Usman regaining the EVENT_DETAILS winning three out of five simulations with one submission victory in the fifth round and two knockout victories in the fourth and fifth rounds”
MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Kamaru Usman
“Kamaru Kamaru Usman regaining the EVENT_DETAILS winning three out of five simulations with one submission victory in the fifth round and two knockout victories in the fourth and fifth rounds”
KU
Kunath picks Kamaru Usman
“I think Kamara Usman wins”
Kunath picks Kamaru Usman
“I think Kamara Usman wins”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Leon Edwards
“I am much higher on Kamaru Usman but Leon Edwards at 7 300 I don't think can be ignored”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Leon Edwards
“I am much higher on Kamaru Usman but Leon Edwards at 7 300 I don't think can be ignored”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“in a decision to win Kamaru Kamaru Usman scores very very good”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kamaru Usman VALUE
“in a decision to win Kamaru Kamaru Usman scores very very good”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Edwards22-5
L
Prates
Nov '25
L
Brady
Mar '25
L
Muhammad
Jul '24
W
Covington
Dec '23
W
Usman
Mar '23
Usman20-4
W
Buckley
Jun '25
L
Chimaev
Oct '23
L
Edwards
Mar '23
L
Edwards
Aug '22
W
Covington
Nov '21