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Adesanya vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
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Adesanya vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
GB
JM
Burns vs MasvidalMain Card · Welterweight
RF
AY
Font vs YañezMain Card · Bantamweight
KH
SP
Holland vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight
CR
RJ
Rodriguez vs Rosas Jr.Main Card · Catchweight
KG
CC
Gastelum vs CurtisPreliminary Card · Middleweight
LP
MW
Pinheiro vs Waterson-GomezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
JP
GM
Pyfer vs MeerschaertPreliminary Card · Middleweight
LG
CC
Godinez vs CalvilloPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
IB
TO
Bahamondes vs OgdenEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
SG
SN
Garcia vs NuerdanbiekeEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
SH
JA
Hughes vs AmorimEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Adesanya v Pereira
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Adesanya 24-5
VS
13-3 Pereira
6'4"
height
6'4"
185 lb
weight
251 lb
80"
reach
79"
36
age
38
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.0
strikes landed / min
5.5
50%
striking accuracy
54%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
57%
striking defence
61%
0.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.1
33%
takedown accuracy
0%
81%
takedown defence
92%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alex Pereira
“I think Alex Pereira beats Israel Adesanya even worse the third time around”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alex Pereira
“I think Alex Pereira beats Israel Adesanya even worse the third time around”
FS
Final Round Sports picks Alex Pereira
“I'm thinking Alex Pereira does it a lien because Israel Adesanya obviously is Burns”
Final Round Sports picks Alex Pereira
“I'm thinking Alex Pereira does it a lien because Israel Adesanya obviously is Burns”
TT
TFB's Talks picks Alex Pereira
“I think I'm picking Alex Pereira by go Alex Pereira by KO in the first round in unfortunately I'm gonna go with Alex Pereira”
TFB's Talks picks Alex Pereira
“I think I'm picking Alex Pereira by go Alex Pereira by KO in the first round in unfortunately I'm gonna go with Alex Pereira”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“just making my prediction that Israel Adesanya is going to win”
MMA JOEY picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“just making my prediction that Israel Adesanya is going to win”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“the pick is Alex Alex Pereira to beat Israel Adesanya”
$2.20
MMA EXPERTS picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“the pick is Alex Alex Pereira to beat Israel Adesanya”
$2.20
KU
Kunath picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“he's 3-0 in the series he's bigger he's stronger he hits harder and he has an ability to come back”
Kunath picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“he's 3-0 in the series he's bigger he's stronger he hits harder and he has an ability to come back”
ET
Extra Thiccc picks Alex Pereira
“I don't think for 25 minutes Alex Pereira is not going to eventually catch him with that left hook or some of those straight rights to the chest”
Extra Thiccc picks Alex Pereira
“I don't think for 25 minutes Alex Pereira is not going to eventually catch him with that left hook or some of those straight rights to the chest”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Alex Pereira
“what Alex Pereira gets the win he holds the um I'm rocking the Alex Pereira all the way Alex Pereira right now all the way ... I got Alex Pereira two man guy”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Alex Pereira
“what Alex Pereira gets the win he holds the um I'm rocking the Alex Pereira all the way Alex Pereira right now all the way ... I got Alex Pereira two man guy”
CD
Cappers Direct picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I like Alex Pereira I only say that because last time when I Bellator breakdown we were like Underdog Underdog Underdog”
Cappers Direct picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I like Alex Pereira I only say that because last time when I Bellator breakdown we were like Underdog Underdog Underdog”
CD
Cappers Direct picks Alex Pereira VALUE
Cappers Direct picks Alex Pereira VALUE
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Adesanya24-5
L
Pyfer
Mar '26
L
Imavov
Feb '25
L
Plessis
Aug '24
L
Strickland
Sep '23
W
Pereira
Apr '23
Pereira13-3
L
Gane
Jun '26
W
Ankalaev
Oct '25
L
Ankalaev
Mar '25
W
Rountree Jr.
Oct '24
W
Procházka
Jun '24