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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Zaleski dos Santos v Nurmagomedov Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Zaleski dos Santos 4
5 Nurmagomedov
CDWC pick Zaleski dos Santos
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Zaleski dos Santos 25-8-1 VS 17-4-1 Nurmagomedov
5'11" height 5'11"
171 lb weight 170 lb
73" reach 72"
39 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 2.8
41% striking accuracy 53%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
56% striking defence 65%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
20% takedown accuracy 22%
68% takedown defence 88%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov VALUE “I'm gonna stick with the pig for nirga manov... I think he's going to take it to the ground get the control time”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov VALUE “lock Abubakar Nurmagomedov” $1.81
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov VALUE “Abubakar Nurmagomedov does win though” $1.85
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov VALUE “I'm gonna pick Abubakar Nurmagomedov no magomerov”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos “I'm gonna pick dos Santos here to win this fight I'm gonna say he gets a finish at some point”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov “I'm gonna go with Abu Bakr name again”
WP We Want Picks picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos VALUE “I love Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos in this fight”
SY Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov VALUE “I'm going with Abubakar Nurmagomedov”
CL Clenbat picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos “I'm gonna pick narmogo made off to win”
CC Combat Critique picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos VALUE “I am going with Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov VALUE “I'm picking normago medov to get this done” $2.10
WP We Want Picks picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos VALUE “I got Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos at plus 130” $2.30
Recent form last five, most recent first
Zaleski dos Santos25-8-1
L Magny KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
L Njokuani KO/TKO · R2 Mar '25
W Scroggin KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Brown Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Jun '23
Nurmagomedov17-4-1
L Santos Decision · R3 Jun '23
W Omargadzhiev Decision · R3 Oct '22
W Gooden Decision · R3 Mar '21
L Zawada Submission · R1 Nov '19