Choose a fight to analyse
JC
MV
Cannonier vs VettoriMain Card · Middleweight
AT
JS
Tsarukyan vs SilvaMain Card · Lightweight
AP
CD
Petrosyan vs DuncanMain Card · Middleweight
PS
LA
Sabatini vs AlmeidaMain Card · Featherweight
MT
NM
Torres vs MottaMain Card · Lightweight
ND
MS
Dalby vs SalikhovMain Card · Welterweight
AC
JF
Costa vs FlickPreliminary Card · Flyweight
KK
CQ
Kyung-ho vs QuiñonezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CH
DB
Hernandez vs BondarPreliminary Card · Flyweight
TB
GF
Bledá vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DA
RL
Argueta vs LawrencePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MB
ZP
Bukauskas vs PaugaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MV
Cannonier vs VettoriMain Card · Middleweight
AT
JS
Tsarukyan vs SilvaMain Card · Lightweight
AP
CD
Petrosyan vs DuncanMain Card · Middleweight
PS
LA
Sabatini vs AlmeidaMain Card · Featherweight
MT
NM
Torres vs MottaMain Card · Lightweight
ND
MS
Dalby vs SalikhovMain Card · Welterweight
AC
JF
Costa vs FlickPreliminary Card · Flyweight
KK
CQ
Kyung-ho vs QuiñonezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CH
DB
Hernandez vs BondarPreliminary Card · Flyweight
TB
GF
Bledá vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DA
RL
Argueta vs LawrencePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MB
ZP
Bukauskas vs PaugaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Bukauskas v Pauga
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Bukauskas 19-7
VS
7-3 Pauga
6'3"
height
—
204 lb
weight
—
78"
reach
—
32
age
38
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.5
47%
striking accuracy
62%
2.8
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
64%
striking defence
58%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
30%
takedown accuracy
7%
58%
takedown defence
100%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE
“I think he probably can get the job done here against Zach Pogo”
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Zac Pauga
“Zac Zac Pauga and this one just reeks of low scoring decision win for one side or the other”
PR
Pub Sports Radio picks Modestas Bukauskas
“I think modestus will land the bigger sKang Kyung-hots from the outside”
FM
Flash Out Media picks Modestas Bukauskas
“I think Modestas Bukauskas get the decision victory over Zac Pauga uh just able to stuff takedowns and keep it where he wants it which is standing up”
HY
Hypecheck picks Zac Pauga VALUE
“for my money I'll be going with the underdog here and Zac Pauga”
$2.48
PP
Prime Time Picks picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE
“I'm going with Modestas Bukauskas picauskas”
$1.61
WP
We Want Picks picks Zac Pauga VALUE
“I think Zach pauuga is a very good Underdog to consider for your lineup because even if it is this absolute Dreadful boring Wrestle Fest Bob 74 points or anything that resembles that is actually pretty solid for a 7 200 fighter”
$73.00
WP
We Want Picks picks Zac Pauga VALUE
“I think he can win this fight the exact same way he won his last fight just hold modestus Modestas Bukauskas against the cage”
$2.62
BP
Boxing MMA Picks picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE
“ultimately I'm seeing Bukowski's sort of out pointing his way to a decision in this one I think bukowskis gets it done”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE
“I'm picking modestis Modestas Bukauskas to be able to outstrike Zac Pauga”
$1.54
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Modestas Bukauskas
“so if I'm not touching him he's a he's a big dog big dog for a reason I think he gets starched here um at some point in this fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Bukauskas19-7
W
Edwards
May '26
L
Krylov
Jan '26
W
Craig
Sep '25
W
Cuțelaba
May '25
W
Cerqueira
Feb '25
Pauga7-3
L
Guskov
Feb '24
L
Bukauskas
Jun '23
W
Wright
Feb '23
L
Usman
Aug '22