Choose a fight to analyse
CS
RF
Sandhagen vs FontMain Card · Catchweight
TS
JA
Suarez vs AndradeMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
DJ
KN
Jacoby vs NzechukwuMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DL
GT
Lopes vs TuckerMain Card · Featherweight
TB
AC
Boser vs CamurMain Card · Light Heavyweight
ĽK
IB
Klein vs BahamondesMain Card · Lightweight
KP
RB
Phillips vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CH
JW
Harris vs WellsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BQ
DJ
Quarantillo vs JacksonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CD
JH
Durden vs HadleyPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SW
DB
Woodson vs BuzukjaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
AA
OO
Almabayev vs OsbournePreliminary Card · Flyweight
RF
Sandhagen vs FontMain Card · Catchweight
TS
JA
Suarez vs AndradeMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
DJ
KN
Jacoby vs NzechukwuMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DL
GT
Lopes vs TuckerMain Card · Featherweight
TB
AC
Boser vs CamurMain Card · Light Heavyweight
ĽK
IB
Klein vs BahamondesMain Card · Lightweight
KP
RB
Phillips vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CH
JW
Harris vs WellsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BQ
DJ
Quarantillo vs JacksonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CD
JH
Durden vs HadleyPreliminary Card · Flyweight
SW
DB
Woodson vs BuzukjaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
AA
OO
Almabayev vs OsbournePreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Lopes v Tucker
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Lopes 27-8
VS
13-3 Tucker
5'11"
height
5'6"
146 lb
weight
145 lb
72"
reach
66"
31
age
40
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
3.5
strikes landed / min
4.3
58%
striking accuracy
44%
2.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
56%
striking defence
57%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
3.1
39%
takedown accuracy
44%
52%
takedown defence
53%
1.2
submissions / 15 min
1.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FS
Final Round Sports picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“Diego Lopes under 72 and a half fantasy score”
Final Round Sports picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“Diego Lopes under 72 and a half fantasy score”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Gavin Tucker VALUE
“I still think he gets the job done against Diego Lopez no clue why the line has moved so much I don't know why he went from 205 to 250 but I'd say grab that Underdog money on Gavin Tucker because Diego Lopez's last two wins were against a 12 and 12 opponent and a 10-10 opponent Gavin Tucker is a little bit higher level than those two guys”
$3.50
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Gavin Tucker VALUE
“I still think he gets the job done against Diego Lopez no clue why the line has moved so much I don't know why he went from 205 to 250 but I'd say grab that Underdog money on Gavin Tucker because Diego Lopez's last two wins were against a 12 and 12 opponent and a 10-10 opponent Gavin Tucker is a little bit higher level than those two guys”
$3.50
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Diego Lopes
“The Knockout of the night is going to our boy Diego Lopes foreign”
The Fight Week Show picks Diego Lopes
“The Knockout of the night is going to our boy Diego Lopes foreign”
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Gavin Tucker
“I'm gonna go with Lopez”
The Fight Week Show picks Gavin Tucker
“I'm gonna go with Lopez”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Gavin Tucker
“give me the underdog shot here on Gavin Tucker and I think he wins this fight by decision”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Gavin Tucker
“give me the underdog shot here on Gavin Tucker and I think he wins this fight by decision”
I9
i9ines picks Gavin Tucker
“I'm still gonna pick Gavin Tucker”
i9ines picks Gavin Tucker
“I'm still gonna pick Gavin Tucker”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I like Diego Lopes I'm going to be playing him in All formats”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“I like Diego Lopes I'm going to be playing him in All formats”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Gavin Tucker
“I might lean towards Gavin Tucker Gavin Tucker probably the morse code Fighter um more technical”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Gavin Tucker
“I might lean towards Gavin Tucker Gavin Tucker probably the morse code Fighter um more technical”
CC
Combat Crazy picks Diego Lopes
“I'm gonna go with uh a Lopez here Diego Lopez”
Combat Crazy picks Diego Lopes
“I'm gonna go with uh a Lopez here Diego Lopez”
TB
Totally Blitzed picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“Kev while we're down the man but the show gotta keep going we kind of I think everyone wait now everyone knows you're currently in Diego Lopez I couldn't hide it as much as I wanted to but yeah Gavin Tucker [__] was cool but Canadian UFC again Diego Lopes Brazilian BJJ Masterpiece I agree with Kev give me him by sub”
Totally Blitzed picks Diego Lopes VALUE
“Kev while we're down the man but the show gotta keep going we kind of I think everyone wait now everyone knows you're currently in Diego Lopez I couldn't hide it as much as I wanted to but yeah Gavin Tucker [__] was cool but Canadian UFC again Diego Lopes Brazilian BJJ Masterpiece I agree with Kev give me him by sub”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Gavin Tucker VALUE
“give me Billy Q in a pretty good back and forth fight until like I expect like the third where he can start taking over”
Liam Picks Fights picks Gavin Tucker VALUE
“give me Billy Q in a pretty good back and forth fight until like I expect like the third where he can start taking over”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Lopes27-8
W
Garcia
Jun '26
L
Volkanovski
Feb '26
W
Silva
Sep '25
L
Volkanovski
Apr '25
W
Ortega
Sep '24
Tucker13-3
L
Lopes
Aug '23
L
Ige
Mar '21
W
Quarantillo
Dec '20
W
Jaynes
Aug '20
W
Choi
Jul '19