Choose a fight to analyse
MH
JC
Holloway vs Chan-sungMain Card · Featherweight
AS
RS
Smith vs SpannMain Card · Light Heavyweight
GC
AC
Chikadze vs CaceresMain Card · Featherweight
RN
FG
Nakamura vs GarciaMain Card · Bantamweight
EB
TS
Blanchfield vs SantosMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
JT
PP
Tafa vs PorterMain Card · Heavyweight
WC
ŁB
Cortes-Acosta vs BrzeskiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
GA
TK
Armfield vs KazamaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MO
CN
Oleksiejczuk vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Middleweight
SK
RB
Kenan vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BG
YK
Goff vs KinoshitaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
JA
LN
Aldrich vs NaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
CS
JE
Seung-woo vs ErrensPreliminary Card · Featherweight
JC
Holloway vs Chan-sungMain Card · Featherweight
AS
RS
Smith vs SpannMain Card · Light Heavyweight
GC
AC
Chikadze vs CaceresMain Card · Featherweight
RN
FG
Nakamura vs GarciaMain Card · Bantamweight
EB
TS
Blanchfield vs SantosMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
JT
PP
Tafa vs PorterMain Card · Heavyweight
WC
ŁB
Cortes-Acosta vs BrzeskiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
GA
TK
Armfield vs KazamaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MO
CN
Oleksiejczuk vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Middleweight
SK
RB
Kenan vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BG
YK
Goff vs KinoshitaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
JA
LN
Aldrich vs NaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
CS
JE
Seung-woo vs ErrensPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Smith v Spann
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Smith 38-20
VS
23-11 Spann
6'4"
height
6'5"
206 lb
weight
252 lb
76"
reach
79"
37
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.2
strikes landed / min
3.3
49%
striking accuracy
40%
4.6
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
46%
striking defence
43%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.3
26%
takedown accuracy
35%
50%
takedown defence
50%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Anthony Smith
“I had Ryan Span in this fight”
MMA JOEY picks Anthony Smith
“I had Ryan Span in this fight”
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Ryan Spann
“I'll be picking Ryan Spann to win and Ryan Spann to win and Ryan Spann to win and the under two and a half ... the pig is going to be Ryan Spann here going to be Ryan Spann here going to be Ryan Spann here”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Ryan Spann
“I'll be picking Ryan Spann to win and Ryan Spann to win and Ryan Spann to win and the under two and a half ... the pig is going to be Ryan Spann here going to be Ryan Spann here going to be Ryan Spann here”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Ryan Spann
“I'm gonna go with Ryan Spann”
The MMA-Holes picks Ryan Spann
“I'm gonna go with Ryan Spann”
AD
Addicted2Combat picks Anthony Smith
“Anthony Smith”
Addicted2Combat picks Anthony Smith
“Anthony Smith”
BP
Boxing MMA Picks picks Anthony Smith
“I'm gonna go with Ryan Spann to get it done here”
Boxing MMA Picks picks Anthony Smith
“I'm gonna go with Ryan Spann to get it done here”
CO
Covers picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“I'm gonna go with the underdog here I think it's mispriced I like Smith plus 110”
$2.10
Covers picks Anthony Smith VALUE
“I'm gonna go with the underdog here I think it's mispriced I like Smith plus 110”
$2.10
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“Anthony Smith on other hand you know his experience uh his last fight Johnny Walker it looked like he was slowing down I don't know I don't know guys oh don't get me wrong athy Anthony Smith did Beat Ryan Spann before but that was before where Ryan Spann wasn't taking his Camp seriously he wasn't really locked in so listen guys I don't know Anthony Smith Anthony Smith seems like he's slowing down Ryan Spann Ryan Spann looking like he's taking [__] seriously more so for that reason I got Ryan Spann minus 132 two money line for this co-main event that's what I got for the co-main event guys”
$1.76
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“Anthony Smith on other hand you know his experience uh his last fight Johnny Walker it looked like he was slowing down I don't know I don't know guys oh don't get me wrong athy Anthony Smith did Beat Ryan Spann before but that was before where Ryan Spann wasn't taking his Camp seriously he wasn't really locked in so listen guys I don't know Anthony Smith Anthony Smith seems like he's slowing down Ryan Spann Ryan Spann looking like he's taking [__] seriously more so for that reason I got Ryan Spann minus 132 two money line for this co-main event that's what I got for the co-main event guys”
$1.76
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“give me Ryan Spann I think he gets it done”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“give me Ryan Spann I think he gets it done”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ryan Spann
“I think Ryan Spann span wins”
We Want Picks picks Ryan Spann
“I think Ryan Spann span wins”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I throw a full unit on Ryan's fan at minus 147 and that's because while I fully recognize that Anthony Smith is very tough and Anthony Smith won that first fight he's like losing his mind he was talking to himself in that last fight”
$1.68
We Want Picks picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I throw a full unit on Ryan's fan at minus 147 and that's because while I fully recognize that Anthony Smith is very tough and Anthony Smith won that first fight he's like losing his mind he was talking to himself in that last fight”
$1.68
WP
We Want Picks picks Anthony Smith
“I bet against Anthony Smith I throw a full unit on Ryan's fan at minus 147 and that's because while I fully recognize that Anthony Smith is very tough and Anthony Smith won that first fight he's like losing his mind”
$2.07
We Want Picks picks Anthony Smith
“I bet against Anthony Smith I throw a full unit on Ryan's fan at minus 147 and that's because while I fully recognize that Anthony Smith is very tough and Anthony Smith won that first fight he's like losing his mind”
$2.07
MM
Maintenance Men MMA picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I think the odds are favoring the opponent”
Maintenance Men MMA picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I think the odds are favoring the opponent”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Smith38-20
L
Mingyang
Apr '25
L
Reyes
Dec '24
L
Dolidze
Jun '24
W
Petrino
May '24
L
Rountree Jr.
Dec '23
Spann23-11
W
Buchecha
Apr '26
W
Brzeski
Jul '25
L
Cortes-Acosta
Mar '25
W
Preux
Oct '24
L
Guskov
Apr '24