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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Estevam v Johnson
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Estevam 14-0
VS
19-8 Johnson
5'8"
height
5'9"
135 lb
weight
126 lb
69"
reach
70"
29
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Switch
2.9
strikes landed / min
4.2
64%
striking accuracy
47%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.1
34%
striking defence
54%
3.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
19%
takedown accuracy
66%
0%
takedown defence
55%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Rafael Estevam
“but I paid Rafael Estevam because unlike most undefeated prospects being undefeated with a lot of decisions um win um being undefeated with a lot of decision wins um the chances of him guessing out in the later rounds like most prospects who are undefeated who come to the EVENT_DETAILS um are very slim”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Rafael Estevam
“but I paid Rafael Estevam because unlike most undefeated prospects being undefeated with a lot of decisions um win um being undefeated with a lot of decision wins um the chances of him guessing out in the later rounds like most prospects who are undefeated who come to the EVENT_DETAILS um are very slim”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Rafael Estevam VALUE
“Johnson's going to be the pick uh there's not a lot of info on estan and what I did see from him he seems good on the ground it's hard to say anything else and Johnson he's got good takedown defense it's good good get up defense”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Rafael Estevam VALUE
“Johnson's going to be the pick uh there's not a lot of info on estan and what I did see from him he seems good on the ground it's hard to say anything else and Johnson he's got good takedown defense it's good good get up defense”
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I'm going to be picking Charles Johnson here”
$1.87
Mike's MMA Picks picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I'm going to be picking Charles Johnson here”
$1.87
SH
Sherdog.com picks Rafael Estevam
“sfm the favorite there at-43 and he'll be my pick in that one”
Sherdog.com picks Rafael Estevam
“sfm the favorite there at-43 and he'll be my pick in that one”
OB
OddsShopper Sports Betting picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I do like Charles Johnson here probably most likely by decision but maybe a late round stoppage as well”
$2.30
OddsShopper Sports Betting picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I do like Charles Johnson here probably most likely by decision but maybe a late round stoppage as well”
$2.30
WP
We Want Picks picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I think I'm full flipping my pick here my original pick was RA Rafael estan and it was because I couldn't trust Charles Johnson to pick up the pace if he gives up a bunch of takedowns I can't trust him to come out swinging or change anything he just from the first round to the last round he fights exactly the same no matter what's happening there is no I'm down two rounds I need to change something up it doesn't exist in his mind we haven't seen that yet all that being said I do think Charles Johnson is a phenomenal Underdog I think he can get it done”
We Want Picks picks Charles Johnson VALUE
“I think I'm full flipping my pick here my original pick was RA Rafael estan and it was because I couldn't trust Charles Johnson to pick up the pace if he gives up a bunch of takedowns I can't trust him to come out swinging or change anything he just from the first round to the last round he fights exactly the same no matter what's happening there is no I'm down two rounds I need to change something up it doesn't exist in his mind we haven't seen that yet all that being said I do think Charles Johnson is a phenomenal Underdog I think he can get it done”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Rafael Estevam VALUE
“I'm picking estavam to win this fight because I believe he's going to have the wrestling advantage and his top game in control will be a factor”
$1.67
MMA EXPERTS picks Rafael Estevam VALUE
“I'm picking estavam to win this fight because I believe he's going to have the wrestling advantage and his top game in control will be a factor”
$1.67
BP
Boxing MMA Picks picks Rafael Estevam
“I'm still going to pick Raphael Rafael EstRafael Estevam um I do believe the takedowns will be impactful I do believe it will determine the fight”
Boxing MMA Picks picks Rafael Estevam
“I'm still going to pick Raphael Rafael EstRafael Estevam um I do believe the takedowns will be impactful I do believe it will determine the fight”
CM
CHOL MMA picks Rafael Estevam
“in this match up I will be taking Rafael Estevam just because he is a good Grappler... I'm going to trust the guy that does damage on the ground to get the victory over Charles Johnson by decision”
CHOL MMA picks Rafael Estevam
“in this match up I will be taking Rafael Estevam just because he is a good Grappler... I'm going to trust the guy that does damage on the ground to get the victory over Charles Johnson by decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Rafael Estevam VALUE
“my pick is Rafael I'm going to ride this train and Trust his cardio that he can get it done”
$2.33
We Want Picks picks Rafael Estevam VALUE
“my pick is Rafael I'm going to ride this train and Trust his cardio that he can get it done”
$2.33
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Charles Johnson
“the thing with Charles Charles Johnson his takedown defense is okay”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Charles Johnson
“the thing with Charles Charles Johnson his takedown defense is okay”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Estevam14-0
L
Ewing
Apr '26
W
Bunes
Aug '25
W
Aguilar
Feb '25
W
Johnson
Nov '23
Johnson19-8
L
Almabayev
Jun '26
W
Silva
Mar '26
L
Perez
Jan '26
W
Kavanagh
Aug '25
L
Temirov
Mar '25