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JT
BG
Turner vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight
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Figueiredo vs FontMain Card · Bantamweight
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Brady vs GastelumMain Card · Welterweight
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Silva vs GuidaMain Card · Lightweight
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PS
Stoltzfus vs SorianoMain Card · Middleweight
MT
JA
Tate vs AvilaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
CB
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Brundage vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Klose vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Bellato vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Gooden vs TurmanPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Hardy vs HorthPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Silva v Guida
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Silva 14-6
VS
38-21 Guida
5'8"
height
5'7"
156 lb
weight
155 lb
69"
reach
70"
37
age
44
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
2.6
52%
striking accuracy
33%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
60%
striking defence
61%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
3.1
60%
takedown accuracy
36%
63%
takedown defence
67%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Joaquim Silva
“I still feel like Joaquim Silva will Jamey-Lyn Horthve some level of advantage over um wJamey-Lyn Hortht do you call him um clous so for me personally even though I feel like this this might be one of those fights tJamey-Lyn Hortht might um tJamey-Lyn Hortht might end up in a split decision in my personal opinion because it might be so close tJamey-Lyn Hortht um it could go either way and I feel like both be so closely matched tJamey-Lyn Hortht they'd be able to ccel each other out and it could go to either fighter but in this particular scenario I think um Solei will be able to manage to squeeze out a win”
UP
UFC Bro Picks picks Joaquim Silva
“I'm going to pick Joaquim Joaquim Silva the win”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Joaquim Silva
“Joaquim Silva will be the pick”
PN
Picks Nation picks Joaquim Silva VALUE
“wae Joaquim Silva should win this fight he's fighting a 42y old guy”
MM
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Clay Guida VALUE
“so to me I'm going to go to Clay Guida to get the job done via decision”
TH
TheWeasle picks Joaquim Silva
“I have to go with waim Klay ... I think Joaquim Silva gets it done”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Joaquim Silva VALUE
“I really like Joaquim Silva in this fight he's going to be seven years younger and not only like younger than Clay Guida in this fight but he's going to have a lot less tread on the tires here”
PR
Pub Sports Radio picks Joaquim Silva VALUE
“give me wem Joaquim Silva”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Joaquim Silva
“I'm picking Yim Silva he actually looked pretty solid”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Silva14-6
W
Puelles
Sep '25
L
Klose
May '24
W
Guida
Dec '23
L
Tsarukyan
Jun '23
W
Ronson
Oct '22
Guida38-21
L
Hooper
Dec '24
L
Silva
Dec '23
L
García
Apr '23
W
Holtzman
Dec '22
L
Puelles
Apr '22