MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Choose a fight to analyse
AT BD Tsarukyan vs DariushMain Card · Lightweight JT BG Turner vs GreenMain Card · Lightweight DF RF Figueiredo vs FontMain Card · Bantamweight SB KG Brady vs GastelumMain Card · Welterweight JS CG Silva vs GuidaMain Card · Lightweight DS PS Stoltzfus vs SorianoMain Card · Middleweight MT JA Tate vs AvilaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CB ZR Brundage vs ReesePreliminary Card · Middleweight DK JS Klose vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight RB IP Bellato vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight JG WT Gooden vs TurmanPreliminary Card · Welterweight VH JH Hardy vs HorthPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Silva v Guida Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus31 picks · conf 54/99
Silva 23
8 Guida
FLUMTV pick Silva
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Silva 14-6 VS 38-21 Guida
5'8" height 5'7"
156 lb weight 155 lb
69" reach 70"
37 age 44
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 2.6
52% striking accuracy 33%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
60% striking defence 61%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 3.1
60% takedown accuracy 36%
63% takedown defence 67%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Joaquim Silva “I still feel like Joaquim Silva will Jamey-Lyn Horthve some level of advantage over um wJamey-Lyn Hortht do you call him um clous so for me personally even though I feel like this this might be one of those fights tJamey-Lyn Hortht might um tJamey-Lyn Hortht might end up in a split decision in my personal opinion because it might be so close tJamey-Lyn Hortht um it could go either way and I feel like both be so closely matched tJamey-Lyn Hortht they'd be able to ccel each other out and it could go to either fighter but in this particular scenario I think um Solei will be able to manage to squeeze out a win”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Joaquim Silva “I'm going to pick Joaquim Joaquim Silva the win”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Joaquim Silva “Joaquim Silva will be the pick”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Joaquim Silva “Joaquim Silva's going to be the pick” $1.31
PN Picks Nation picks Joaquim Silva VALUE “wae Joaquim Silva should win this fight he's fighting a 42y old guy”
“S “And NEW” MMA Show picks Clay Guida VALUE “I will be taking Silva by UD” $1.30
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Clay Guida VALUE “so to me I'm going to go to Clay Guida to get the job done via decision”
TH TheWeasle picks Joaquim Silva “I have to go with waim Klay ... I think Joaquim Silva gets it done”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Joaquim Silva VALUE “I really like Joaquim Silva in this fight he's going to be seven years younger and not only like younger than Clay Guida in this fight but he's going to have a lot less tread on the tires here”
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Joaquim Silva VALUE “give me wem Joaquim Silva”
TO The Golden Octagon picks Joaquim Silva “give me wae Joaquim Silva via submission” $1.29
LM Leftlane MMA picks Joaquim Silva “I'm picking Yim Silva he actually looked pretty solid”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Silva14-6
W Puelles Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Klose Decision · R3 May '24
W Guida Decision · R3 Dec '23
L Tsarukyan KO/TKO · R3 Jun '23
W Ronson KO/TKO · R2 Oct '22
Guida38-21
L Hooper Submission · R1 Dec '24
L Silva Decision · R3 Dec '23
L García Decision · R3 Apr '23
W Holtzman Decision · R3 Dec '22
L Puelles Submission · R1 Apr '22