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Flick vs GordonEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Flick v Gordon
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Flick 17-8
VS
14-8 Gordon
5'7"
height
5'7"
126 lb
weight
127 lb
68"
reach
71"
35
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Switch
1.9
strikes landed / min
2.5
50%
striking accuracy
45%
5.4
strikes absorbed / min
2.0
43%
striking defence
43%
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
1.7
21%
takedown accuracy
35%
0%
takedown defence
26%
4.3
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Malcolm Gordon
“I am gonna lean Jimmy Flick here um could get by playing Jimmy Flick ... I think that's Malcolm Gordon value is on Malcolm Gordon I think he's Malcolm Gordon by TKO round one it's”
$1.49
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Malcolm Gordon VALUE
“Malcolm Gordon Jordon 8 to 15 favorite with Jimmy Flick flick at 13 to 8”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Jimmy Flick VALUE
“Malcolm Gordon Jordon 8 to 15 favorite with Jimmy Flick flick at 13 to 8”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Jimmy Flick VALUE
“I picked Jimmy Flick because out of his 16 wins he won 14 by submission and in my opinion I think Malcolm Gordon does not have great takedown defense on the feet I think Jimmy Flick um m and Priscila Cachoeira just lost to her in the last fight so that does not necessarily mean that Jasmine Jasudavicius is going to win um but based on her performance against a very improved um Tracy ctez um I'm leaning more towards um Jasmine Jasudavicius to win however I think it's going to be 50/50 because I feel like um Jasmine Jasudavicius has Jasmine Jasudavicius has finishing abilities um and it's proven by her seven Scouts uh both Fighters have their advantages and and disadvantages so because of that I think it's going to be 50/50 but I'm leaning more toward or rather Home Country um my subscribers my subscribers also picked um jessu davias um on to the next one I don't know how to pronounce these names guys so don't come at me for pronouncing these names horribly um Yohan Lainesse versus Sam Patterson um I picked Yohan Lainesse purely because I think he's un cleaner everywhere than Sam Patterson of course patteron has a high finish rate but I also think Yohan Lainesse has the ability to knock out patteron especially in his home country so I will say 70% Yohan Lainesse wins this one my subscribers went with Patterson um on to the next one Gillian Robertson versus Polyana Viana here I think both Fighters are equally matched but on the feet I would give the advantage to Gillian Robertson and because both are good Grapplers I think it will largely be a stand up fight and I don't see Polyana Viana winning on the feet however like I said this could go either way so 60% Gillian Robertson wins my subscribers also picked Gillian Robertson um onto the next one um Serhiy Sidey versus Ramon Taveras they are first fight ended too quickly for me to be able to say Serhiy Sidey is better andz but the fight was stopped too early and Tavaris came back they dominated another fighter a few weeks later on the contender series um and skill for skill I feel like tavarus is better both have finishing power and even though C won their controversial fight via Ramon Taveras will win or rather will find a way to win um this rematch so I will say 60% tarz wins this one my subscribers went with Serhiy Sidey um Charles Jourdain versus Sean Woodson Sean Woodson is a decent fighter 10 wins and one loss is not bad but I think Charles Jourdain is better on the feet and has more power than Sean Woodson I picked against Charles Jourdain in his last two fights largely because I thought his grappling was terrible and he proves me wrong after beating um I'm sorry if I seem distracted I'm reading from something so so I apologize um but nonetheless let me continue um he proved me wrong after beating Gracie who was terrible I know um uh but he then submitted he then submitted Ramos um uh let me try and do this okay um but he he then submitted um Ramos who I think is is a really decent grap so I think Charles Jourdain wins but Sean Woodson has some power so I will say 70% um Charles Jourdain wins this one my subscribers also picked this Charles Jourdain um on to the next one Brad Katona versus Garrett Armfield um I think both Fighters are evenly matched but I would give the ground advantage to Brad Katona after his performance against morab um he probably feels like maybe he can also be in the title convers has beaten people he shouldn't have been able to beat uh especially on paper um which is something I need to start taking into considerations when I do my predictions um it's like it's also like Diego Lopez on paper he loses two of his last matches but he he submitted or rather yeah he submitted both of them I think um in the first round he finished both of them so I will say 60% Brad Katona wins this fight um my subscribers also picked Brad Katona um on to the next one Arnold Allen versus Movsar Evloev I think on the feed Movsar Evloev is good enough to survive until he can find um a way to get to the ground um Arnold Allen struggled against um max in terms of grappling so if Arnold Allen was able to struggle against Max I mean Max is not the greatest Grappler um so if ever he was able to struggle with with Max um when it comes to grappling then obviously Movsar Evloev is going going to probably submit him so I will say oh my subscribers also picked um Movsar Evloev um on to the next one Chris Curtis versus Marc-André Barriault on the feed Chris Curtis is better is the better Striker with a bit more power than Marc-André Barriault and he has amazing takeown defense on the other hand Marc-André Barriault is not very good at taking people down so he's good if he can get you there but I don't honestly see him being able to successfully take down Chris Curtis um because he's not very good at taking people down um and also I feel like um Chris Curtis is good enough to be able to avoid you know takedowns um Marc-André Barriault has a lot of power so that's one of the things that maybe may concern me as it relates to this fight but otherwise I still think Chris Curtis wins this one so I'll say um 70% the Chris Curtis is going to win this fight um especially with a lot of motivation um my subscribers also picked Chris Curtis on to the next one uh Neil Magny versus mot um Neil Magny is one of those fighters who have shocked me a couple of times whenever he fights prospects in the prelims he somehow manages to win that's why he keeps coming back to the main card but somehow when he gets to the main card he loses I think my Lord is the all around better Fighter um so it's difficult for me to imagine a situation whereby whether it's on the feet or on the ground it's difficult for me to imagine a situation where wins this one that's that's my pick um my subscribers also picked mad uh so yeah on to the next one Raquel Pennington versus Bueno Mayra Bueno Silva um striking I think they are both evenly matched but grappling obviously goes to Mayra Bueno Mayra Bueno Silva on top of striking is probably um since the Striking will probably cancel out each other uh Sila will still have an advantage on the ground and her win over holy home was impressive so I'll say 80% Mayra Bueno Mayra Bueno Silva Bueno Mayra Bueno Silva actually wins this one um my subscribers also picked um Mayra Bueno Mayra Bueno Silva um on to the final one Sean Strickland versus Dricus du Plessis um I'm South African but that's not why I picked the ders um I have been following if you have been following me forers to lose um over or Derek Branson but in those two fights he was able to show me that he could get into the top five and I went on to predict the the the upset um Dricus du Plessis upset over Robert Whitaker if you've been following me for a while you probably know that I predicted the upsid over Robert Whitaker um last year so Robert wha especially after fixing his nose and all those type of things um and although he has an awkward style of the two between him and strikland I feel like I feel like Dricus du Plessis is is the better striker in my personal opinion however on the other hand I think the one thing that concerns me a lot is that he doesn't have good good um take down defense and on the other hand son Sean Strickland is one of the most underrated Grapplers in the middle way division because the guy actually trains with people like angal so he's actually good at grappling and I don't understand this especially because um Sean Strickland doesn't necessarily show his um his grappling usually in his matches he usually prefers to strike but Sean Sean Strickland is actually a very good gra so that's the one thing that concerns me about picking um Dricus du Plessis to places because his takedown defense is not very good it's easy to take him down um but nonetheless I feel like dras has a lot of power um and technically when when we talk about technical skill I think um Dricus du Plessis is a little bit better as a striker um as opposed to Sean Strickland Sean Sean Strickland is good um and especially in recent he's been looking physically better than he's ever looked in my personal opinion he's in in his entire career um anyone who becomes a champion gets like 50% better than they were were before I don't know if this is accurate or not but that's something I heard and I've seen it happen so I'm assuming Sean Strickland is going to be significantly better than he was the last time we saw him and obviously as I'm going to speak as a South African right because out of all of these um MMA analysts and all these type of things I don't think any of them um can give you the South African perspective in South Africa right there's there's there's so much advertisement about um Dricus du Plessis Dricus du Plessis fight so dkas has so much pressure on him because I see it like there like the country like um the corporate world the advertisements on social media on television even sports channels are promoting um UFC 297 um in South Africa so I can you can only imagine the amount of pressure I don't I don't think this kind of pressure would um potentially Break Dricus du Plessis um but I I can honestly say there's a lot of motivation for driz to win because an entire country an entire country is ring behind him and like it's crazy I wish everyone you I I wish everyone could see what what was happening this side um I don't know if maybe I'm getting all these advertisements and all these things because I'm an MMA fan I'm a UFC fan but the amount of advertisement that you see every single ad advertisement on my feed is about dras in South Africa you know so that's how crazy it is this side so Dricus du Plessis has so much writing on this that I don't know if he going to lose this one um I I remember in the beginning of this stream I spoke about I spoke about how how determination um get can get you to levels that you are not normally supposed to reach I made an example with Bilal Muhammad Bilal has beaten people that he shouldn't have been able to beat but because of determination that guy is has beaten like a lot of people that normally we know that he shouldn't have been able to beat but because of determination and that's why I I highlight the fact that dras like there's so much support and it's not just people it's not just normal citizens I'm talking about companies I'm talking about sports channels I'm I'm talking about like normal broadcasters who are who are who are supporting this whole thing so with that being said I will honestly say this fight is going to be 50/50 um because both Fighters have an incredibly good reason to win both Fighters are determined to win so it's difficult for and in terms of skill I feel like both Fighters are skilled just that on the feet I feel like Dricus du Plessis has the advantage because of skill and knock out power but on the ground and for some reason people think um dras will will dominate on the ground I honestly don't think so especially because like I said Sean Sean Strickland um trains with anive so obviously because of that not just because of that but for a a lengthy period of time I feel like um Sean Sean Strickland has been working on his grappling for a very long time just that he hasn't shown it so I I honestly think it's going to be 50/50 my official pick obviously I'm South African it's not it's not a bias pick I genuinely and sincerely believe that Sean Sean Strickland I mean DZ two places is going to win this fight but it's not necessarily just because I'm South African that I'm picking him um but it's also because um like I said I think I've given my my my reasons but in true honesty if I was to be honest I think this is going to be um 50/50 it could go either way honestly speaking but as a South African I'm going to say I I'm a fan of both right I I'm a I'm a massive fan of Sean Sean Strickland um especially after this weekend I'm I'm also a fan of of Dricus du PYohan Lainesses to places obvious viously he's from my country so obviously I'm going to support Dricus du PYohan Lainesses in this particular fight but it doesn't necessarily mean I want Sean Sean Strickland to lose so either way for me personally whoever wins I'll be happy with it because I love both Fighters but it would mean more to me I forgot to even tell you guys I'm going to be working on something with Dricus du Plessis gym right I'm going to try and bring you some things um for the channel um I'm really really excited I don't want to announce anything um before I actually even get it done so if Dricus du Plessis is able to win the title like there's so much that I'm going to be able to bring to this channel for you guys so that's one of the reasons I'm like let's go D is obviously I support it because I think it's good and and everything but there's so much that we're going to be able to get on this channel if Dricus du Plessis is able to win um but my official pick is going to be Dricus du Plessis to places I don't think it goes the full distance um and yeah he wins for sure yes um yeah I'm I'm I'm picking Dricus du Plessis if if you guys want to see all my other um predictions you can go back to the stream at the beginning of the stream I'm going to be going live every single Friday um yeah that's the only time I'm going to ever go live to do my predictions and then I'll take it from there why black people are tall I don't know why black people I don't think I'm tall I think I'm average height why why are they tall I don't know um if you guys have any questions you can ask me um for those who just got onto the stream if you want to um see my other predictions you can rewind the stream and start from the beginning um yeah but for now I'm just answering questions I'm going to try and answer questions and then I'll be done with the stream pretty soon so I'm waiting for for Jay to to to to tell me whatever it is that he was saying um I'm waiting um yeah I think everyone heard me if you have any questions you can ask me in the comment section right now and I'll try to respond to them um Jay you are taking a bit of time to respond I might have to leave the stream because I don't want to make it too long for people who will probably watch it a bit later on I don't want it to be an hour long um so yeah for now I'm done with my predictions rewind if you want to see all my predictions um but I'm super excited for UFC 297 um I'm I'm I'm extremely extremely excited um and if Dricus du Plessis wins everyone on my channel is going to get treated to some incredible content I honestly cannot wait like there's so much I have planned I'm building a channel I don't want it to be like anything else like I don't want to it to be like any channel that's on YouTube so I'm really really excited um Jay I'm going to have to leave you my my guy um I appreciate everyone who supports me um Jay look um before I leave Jay um you can finish that joke in the comment section because now I've been waiting for you to to finish that joke and I haven't I don't know what's happening um but to everyone else um who just logged in you can rewind and check the my other my whole predictions for this particular card I'm going to be doing this every single Friday from now on and then um yeah I appreciate all of you I appreciate the support um I always say I don't have fans or whatever the cases I have supporters because without you there's no me um I'm hoping to grow grow this to become one of the biggest you know platforms on YouTube um and it's because I'm passionate about the sport I'm passionate about creating quality um it's not just just about the sport but creating quality content so I appreciate all of you and thank you for the support I see I see your comments every single day um uh yeah let's meet in the comment sections there there's other content on the channel if you you are new if you just found out about my Channel Through The Stream go to Yo I I forgot guys I made I made um a countdown of my top 20 of the greatest fighters of all time right so go to the playlist section on the channel there are there's a playlist for MMA awards that I made there's a playlist for 20 episodes of the greatest fighters of all time so just go under playlist on the channel just go to my channel and then check under playlist you'll see what I'm talking about so if you're still if you're new to my channel and you just got introduced to me right now just go to the channel and go through the like the channel from the community section to the playlist to shorts especially shorts and then to standard videos there's so much content on the channel so go there and then check it out because there's so much content on the channel that is very helpful um and entertaining for for any UFC fan so until next week I love you guys deuces”
ST
Spazzz TV picks Malcolm Gordon
“we got Malcolm Gordon getting uh money line finished”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jimmy Flick VALUE
“I think that's going to be Jimmy Flick”
PN
Picks Nation picks Jimmy Flick VALUE
“Jimmy Flick these are crazy odds for a guy that has those submission skills”
$2.84
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Jimmy Flick VALUE
“I'll definitely have some flick given his early submission upside”
$1.64
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Malcolm Gordon VALUE
“Fighter_A's my preferred option give the value”
$1.44
OM
Octagon Outcome MMA picks Malcolm Gordon
“I'll go Malcolm Gordon”
ML
MMAce's Betting Leaderboard picks Jimmy Flick VALUE
“it looks like we'd have action on the very first fight of the night with Underdog Jimmy Flick coming in at a plus 110 for an opener”
$2.10
IP
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Malcolm Gordon
“both of us going Malcolm Gordon”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Flick17-8
L
Schnell
Apr '25
L
Maness
Jun '24
W
Gordon
Jan '24
L
Costa
Jun '23
L
Johnson
Jan '23
Gordon14-8
L
Flick
Jan '24
L
Hadley
Mar '23
L
Mokaev
Oct '22
W
Bondar
Feb '22
W
Figueiredo
Jul '21