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UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Griffin v Wells Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus53 picks · conf 70/99
Griffin 20
33 Wells
FBELC pick Griffin
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Griffin 20-12 VS 13-4-1 Wells
5'11" height 5'9"
170 lb weight 170 lb
76" reach 74"
40 age 39
Orthodox stance Switch
3.9 strikes landed / min 4.3
49% striking accuracy 47%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
57% striking defence 63%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
41% takedown accuracy 52%
68% takedown defence 52%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TP The City Life Project picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “I have to go Jeremiah Wells on this one but it's a close fight I think overall it could go either way” $2.50
TD The Rambling Dad picks Max Griffin “my first Underdog Max Griffin I would it been by knockout Max Griffin um I think Max Griffin probably by De this fight against Max Griffin ... I'm gonna take uh Max Griffin yeah I all um so yeah going with Max Griffin”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Jeremiah Wells “N/A”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Max Griffin “I'll go with Trevin Jack Hermanssonileseremiah Wells because I think he has the better wrestling”
PP Prime Time Picks picks Jeremiah Wells “I'm going with Jeremiah Jeremiah Wells”
FI FightBookMMA picks Max Griffin VALUE “I think Max Griffin wins this fight by decision” $2.50
HP Heavy P picks Max Griffin “Max Griffin has a great chance to win I feel like someone is getting slept in this fight”
KU Kunath picks Max Griffin VALUE “if we're realistic about what we're looking at Jeremiah Wells is chinny and if anybody's going to find the chin it's going to be Max Griffin”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Max Griffin “Jeremiah Wells s off Max Griffin go Max Griffin let's go Max Griffin let's go”
WP We Want Picks picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “I think Jeremiah Wells gets this done”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “I do like Wells here” $1.67
PN Picks Nation picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “he's going to win this fight I like Jeremiah Wells I know a lot of people are trying to make up for a couple of bad weeks in a row trying to find plus money bets and they see a G like Max Griffin and they throw money on it I think that's a bad idea”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Griffin20-12
L Valenzuela Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Curtis Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Chiesa Submission · R3 Dec '24
W Wells Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Morales Decision · R3 Jul '23
Wells13-4-1
W Gorimbo Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Griffin Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Harris Submission · R3 Aug '23
W Semelsberger Decision · R3 Apr '23
W McGee KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22