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UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Erceg v Schnell Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus41 picks · conf 62/99
Erceg 33
8 Schnell
ICPPFB pick Erceg
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Erceg 13-4 VS 17-10 Schnell
5'8" height 5'8"
125 lb weight 126 lb
68" reach 70"
30 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 4.4
48% striking accuracy 39%
4.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
53% striking defence 55%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
26% takedown accuracy 40%
60% takedown defence 50%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TS The Jay All Day NFL Show picks Steve Erceg VALUE “it's going to be all favorites” $1.20
PP Prime Time Picks picks Steve Erceg “I'm going with Steve EG”
BM Broke Bets MMA picks Steve Erceg “give me Steve Erceg Matt Matt Schnell just chin is not reliable I think Steve Erceg's got the better Jiu-Jitsu maybe not as much the submission Jiu-Jitsu at least we've seen in the UFC but um the better bgj uh overall I'd say maybe better wrestling too”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Steve Erceg “IG is going to be the pick”
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Steve Erceg “I do too I've already said this since he has come in Steve Erceg is one of my favorite Fighters”
I9 i9ines picks Steve Erceg “I have decide with Steve Erceg”
MM Magnusisp MMA picks Steve Erceg “for the main event uh starting off match versus Steve Erceg I'm going to go with Steve Erceg because bedtime MMA go YouTuber and I have to support my favorite YouTuber and also Steve Erceg just really good I remember him from that his last fight uh I think he won by decision it was still a good fight good performance by him”
VS VSiN picks Steve Erceg “Steve Erceg an Australian shipping in I think he's got the ways and means here now he opens 220 wow now he's priced here at cira 405” $1.25
WP We Want Picks picks Steve Erceg “I think Steve Erceg will get the win”
LS Lil Stray picks Steve Erceg “I think Steve Erceg has got more cage time I think he wins this fight by submission or decision” $1.24
FP Free Picks PickDawgz picks Steve Erceg VALUE “we're going to take Steve Erceg” $1.22
WP We Want Picks picks Steve Erceg VALUE “I think Steve Erceg has also gotten past this number in every single one of his UFC fights”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Erceg13-4
W Elliott Decision · R3 May '26
W Osbourne Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Moreno Decision · R5 Mar '25
L Kara-France KO/TKO · R1 Aug '24
L Pantoja Decision · R5 May '24
Schnell17-10
L Costa KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
L Morales Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Flick Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Durden Submission · R2 Sep '24
L Erceg KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24