Choose a fight to analyse
BA
CC
Allen vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
DJ
AH
Jackson vs HernandezMain Card · Catchweight
CM
MC
Mariscal vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
IB
CG
Bahamondes vs GiagosMain Card · Lightweight
CC
TP
Campbell vs PeekMain Card · Lightweight
AM
CM
Morono vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
ŁB
VW
Brzeski vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
ND
GR
Dumont vs RandamiePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
VH
PF
Hugo vs FalcãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JM
DA
Matsumoto vs ArguetaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CA
DB
Almeida vs BudkaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NC
MM
Cornolle vs MullinsPreliminary Card · Catchweight
CC
Allen vs CurtisMain Card · Middleweight
DJ
AH
Jackson vs HernandezMain Card · Catchweight
CM
MC
Mariscal vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
IB
CG
Bahamondes vs GiagosMain Card · Lightweight
CC
TP
Campbell vs PeekMain Card · Lightweight
AM
CM
Morono vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
ŁB
Brzeski vs WalkerPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
ND
GR
Dumont vs RandamiePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
VH
PF
Hugo vs FalcãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JM
DA
Matsumoto vs ArguetaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
CA
DB
Almeida vs BudkaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
NC
MM
Cornolle vs MullinsPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Matsumoto v Argueta
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Matsumoto 17-2
VS
9-3 Argueta
5'6"
height
5'7"
135 lb
weight
138 lb
69"
reach
70"
26
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.2
strikes landed / min
2.5
40%
striking accuracy
43%
5.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
46%
striking defence
50%
1.1
takedowns / 15 min
4.4
27%
takedown accuracy
35%
57%
takedown defence
55%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Dan Argueta
“my official pick is going to be um Dan Argueta”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Dan Argueta
“Dan aret I got to take them off tips on your shoulders just like this 136 136b for Dan Argueta”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Dan Argueta VALUE
“my salary play of the week here let's go with Dan Argueta at 7.4k”
$2.39
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Jean Matsumoto
“he's facing a really good Prospect in Jean Matsumoto”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Dan Argueta VALUE
“and then finally Dan Argueta at about plus 130”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dan Argueta VALUE
“I do think Dan aru his toughness his UFC experience his willingness to move forward and the straightup wrestling can be enough to get him a win here”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“I'll lean Jean Matsumoto in this one”
TP
The City Life Project picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
“so I'm going John Jean Matsumoto as well what's up Ethan good to see you m man I'm guessing everyone seen that 5V find line bro two seconds in the hockey game yeah New Jersey Devils New York Rangers oldtime hockey some lnah [ __ ] I love it because the NHL is a disgrace to hockey these days it's great to see some old school hockey and that Matthew rempe kid even though he lost his fight in that one keeping old school hockey alive and I mentioned him here on this channel in this stream because he does train Muay Tha in the offseason so big shout out to him degenerate Dan Arguetae I don't give a [ __ ] about picking for the pfl I will be streaming it though I will be streaming it um you're the expert on the pfl picks my man you're the expert on the pfl F good to see you degenerate Dan Arguetae hope all is well”
$1.49
MM
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Dan Argueta
“I'm going to go with Dan Argueta here”
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Dan Argueta VALUE
“give me a dog this is my favorite dog play on the card”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Matsumoto17-2
W
Almakhan
Jun '26
L
Basharat
Feb '26
W
Johns
Aug '25
L
Font
Feb '25
W
Katona
Oct '24
Argueta9-3
L
Matsumoto
Apr '24