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UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Tybura v Tuivasa Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus45 picks · conf 66/99
Tybura 26
19 Tuivasa
TPFMIB pick Tybura
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tybura 27-10 VS 15-9 Tuivasa
6'3" height 6'2"
256 lb weight 265 lb
78" reach 75"
40 age 33
Orthodox stance Southpaw
2.5 strikes landed / min 3.8
45% striking accuracy 46%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 5.2
69% striking defence 44%
2.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
55% takedown accuracy 0%
87% takedown defence 57%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TS The Fight Week Show picks Marcin Tybura “I'm going to take the chat that he's I don't know he is a better fighter... backing him too”
TS The Fight Week Show picks Tai Tuivasa “I'm going with a favorite in this one too... gregorio's got I can see him getting it done”
CS Calf Kick Sports picks Tai Tuivasa “I do have Tai Tuivasa by KO”
LS Lil Stray picks Tai Tuivasa “leaning towards Tai Tuivasa”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Tai Tuivasa “my official pick is um Tai Tuivasa”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Marcin Tybura “if I have to pick a side I'm G to lean towards tyor”
HP Heavy P picks Tai Tuivasa “39 to Tai Tuivasa verse Marcin Tybura” $1.39
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Marcin Tybura “I think Marcin Tybura will come out on top in those fights and he still managed to come out on top... allowing him to grind out Tai Tuivasa over 25 minutes either picking up a decision”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Marcin Tybura “I'm going to pick Marcin Tybura”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Marcin Tybura “our five round main event is in the heavyweight division between the number 10 ranked Marcin Tybura and number n tied to aassa heavyweights headline here at the UFC Apex tomorrow”
MM MMA_Protagonist01 picks Tai Tuivasa “I want to say Tai Tuivasa”
2O 2 Fans 1 Octagon picks Marcin Tybura VALUE “give me to aasa”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tybura27-10
L Fortune Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Delija KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Parkin Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Diniz KO/TKO · R2 Nov '24
L Spivac Submission · R1 Aug '24
Tuivasa15-9
L Sutherland Decision · R3 May '26
L Teixeira Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Rozenstruik Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Tybura Submission · R1 Mar '24
L Volkov Submission · R2 Sep '23