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UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Taira v Perez Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus54 picks · conf 71/99
Taira 34
20 Perez
IPPFBA pick Taira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Taira 18-1 VS 26-10 Perez
5'7" height 5'6"
126 lb weight 128 lb
70" reach 65"
26 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 4.2
60% striking accuracy 46%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
46% striking defence 58%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
44% takedown accuracy 46%
45% takedown defence 77%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Tatsuro Taira “both of us are going with Tyra in this fight”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alex Perez VALUE “I'm going to be higher on the Alex Perez side something else that's important with this being an 11 fight card is ownership really matters there's going to be a ton of dupes Tatsuro Taira projected for 53% ownership due to the scratch fight we've got 33% projected ownership going to Alex Alex Perez so I like being overweight to Alex Perez I currently have him about 60% of my lineups to 40% for tatsuro Tatsuro Taira also betting Alex Perez plus 170 on the money line” $2.70
HP Hayjive Picks picks Tatsuro Taira VALUE “Tetsuro Tyra should be able to beat Alex Perez”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Tatsuro Taira VALUE “I have to make him a lock of the week” $3.50
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alex Perez “he fought only one month ago and then he fought three months ago so I wouldn't be surprised if injuries start to flare up”
FI FightDudes picks Tatsuro Taira VALUE “for my first leg I got to take Tatsuro Taira”
FC Fight Fan Culture picks Alex Perez “I'm gonna take Alex Perez on this one just by the fact that he has more experience and I think he's fought a much higher level of opponent”
MJ MMA Junkie picks Alex Perez VALUE “I'm going to go with Alex Alex Perez here” $2.44
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Alex Perez “Alex Perez versus Tatsuro Taira”
WP We Want Picks picks Alex Perez VALUE “I think Alice Perez gets the win”
WP We Want Picks picks Tatsuro Taira VALUE “I do think tar wins this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Alex Perez VALUE “I think Alex Perez can absolutely win this fight I think the plus 175 odds look pretty good considering he just knocked his last opponent out cold considering he has an incredible amount of high level experience considering that he defended 17 takedowns from Muhammad makv” $2.75
Recent form last five, most recent first
Taira18-1
L Van KO/TKO · R5 May '26
W Moreno KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Hyun-sung Submission · R2 Aug '25
L Royval Decision · R5 Oct '24
W Perez KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
Perez26-10
W Johnson KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
L Almabayev Submission · R3 Nov '25
L Taira KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
W Nicolau KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
L Mokaev Decision · R3 Mar '24