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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Talbott v Ghemmouri
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Talbott 9-0
VS
12-3 Ghemmouri
5'10"
height
—
135 lb
weight
—
70"
reach
—
27
age
31
Switch
stance
Orthodox
8.4
strikes landed / min
2.3
55%
striking accuracy
38%
3.6
strikes absorbed / min
5.1
51%
striking defence
35%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
0%
takedown accuracy
0%
90%
takedown defence
0%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CM
Comedian Romeo Mac picks Payton Talbott
“I got paid so if I think the fight um Chase Hernandez versus the Japanese dude was them feeding somebody to the Wolves”
$1.06
Comedian Romeo Mac picks Payton Talbott
“I got paid so if I think the fight um Chase Hernandez versus the Japanese dude was them feeding somebody to the Wolves”
$1.06
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“it's Payton Talbott Payton Talbott is definitely going to win this”
$1.06
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“it's Payton Talbott Payton Talbott is definitely going to win this”
$1.06
TB
Totally Blitzed picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“I got pay if I think the fight um Carlos Hernandez versus the Japanese dude was feeding somebody to the Wolves they're literally feeding um yanise and GE something to pay he's literally about to take him out of this I don't see this fight being closed even slightly I can see this going like second round maybe um but no I really see pay too kind of running through and getting his hype Trend continue he's a striker too Giannis he's not even or he's not even like a wrestler where you can oh maybe he'll take him down we'll see different no they really feeding him right in his wheelhouse like we're going to give you Striker go kill him for you know pay-per-view money for the hood for the hood for America”
$1.06
Totally Blitzed picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“I got pay if I think the fight um Carlos Hernandez versus the Japanese dude was feeding somebody to the Wolves they're literally feeding um yanise and GE something to pay he's literally about to take him out of this I don't see this fight being closed even slightly I can see this going like second round maybe um but no I really see pay too kind of running through and getting his hype Trend continue he's a striker too Giannis he's not even or he's not even like a wrestler where you can oh maybe he'll take him down we'll see different no they really feeding him right in his wheelhouse like we're going to give you Striker go kill him for you know pay-per-view money for the hood for the hood for America”
$1.06
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“I love Payton Talbott from a cash perspective”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“I love Payton Talbott from a cash perspective”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Yanis Ghemmouri
“we have pton toit going against Yanis Ghemmouri minus 600 for the fight doesn't go to decision and yeah this is just Payton Talbott or pass for me on this one”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Yanis Ghemmouri
“we have pton toit going against Yanis Ghemmouri minus 600 for the fight doesn't go to decision and yeah this is just Payton Talbott or pass for me on this one”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Payton Talbott
“I'm all over Payton Talbott here don't like the money all over Payton Talbott here don't like the money all over Payton Talbott here don't like the money line but nobody should really be priced more I endorse the inside um as well”
$1.06
Dynes Sports picks Payton Talbott
“I'm all over Payton Talbott here don't like the money all over Payton Talbott here don't like the money all over Payton Talbott here don't like the money line but nobody should really be priced more I endorse the inside um as well”
$1.06
BD
Big Dave picks Payton Talbott
“I like Payton Talbott he's a he's more of a technician and Payton Talbott is event eventually Payton Talbott's going to find him so I got Payton Talbott I got I got Michelle Waterson-Gomez Payton Talbott lot”
Big Dave picks Payton Talbott
“I like Payton Talbott he's a he's more of a technician and Payton Talbott is event eventually Payton Talbott's going to find him so I got Payton Talbott I got I got Michelle Waterson-Gomez Payton Talbott lot”
CZ
Comedian Black Zeus picks Payton Talbott
“I'm going to go Payton Talbott on this one he's he's going to go Payton Talbott on this one... so yeah Payton Talbott I got”
Comedian Black Zeus picks Payton Talbott
“I'm going to go Payton Talbott on this one he's he's going to go Payton Talbott on this one... so yeah Payton Talbott I got”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Payton Talbott
“I think he probably finds a finish here”
$1.06
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Payton Talbott
“I think he probably finds a finish here”
$1.06
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Yanis Ghemmouri
“it wouldn't shock me to see Yanis Ghemmouri get a takedown”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Yanis Ghemmouri
“it wouldn't shock me to see Yanis Ghemmouri get a takedown”
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Yanis Ghemmouri VALUE
“expect Sarah to try to get this fight to the ground beat him up and you can see it right here a lot of people are heavy on that submission coming from SIA”
Bloody Water Podcast picks Yanis Ghemmouri VALUE
“expect Sarah to try to get this fight to the ground beat him up and you can see it right here a lot of people are heavy on that submission coming from SIA”
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“we're going to combine that with the Ricky Simone money line plus 145 we like it”
$2.45
Bloody Water Podcast picks Payton Talbott VALUE
“we're going to combine that with the Ricky Simone money line plus 145 we like it”
$2.45
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Talbott9-0
W
Cejudo
Dec '25
W
Lima
Jun '25
L
Barcelos
Jan '25
W
Ghemmouri
Jun '24
W
Saaiman
Mar '24
Ghemmouri12-3
L
Talbott
Jun '24
L
Gomis
Sep '23