MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez
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RN TC Namajunas vs CortezMain Card · Women'S Flyweight MS SP Salikhov vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight JS DD Silva vs DoberMain Card · Lightweight GB AL Bonfim vs LoosaMain Card · Welterweight JE CR Erosa vs RodriguezMain Card · Featherweight AA CB Alhassan vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight CJ JV Johnson vs VanPreliminary Card · Flyweight JJ FK Jasudavicius vs KlinePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight MJ DB Jackson vs BlackshearPreliminary Card · Bantamweight LS MA Santos vs AgapovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight AP JF Petroski vs FremdPreliminary Card · Middleweight EE DF Elder vs FlowersPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Namajunas v Cortez Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus93 picks · conf 82/99
Namajunas 70
23 Cortez
gTPBPF pick Namajunas
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Namajunas 15-7 VS 11-2 Cortez
5'5" height 5'5"
126 lb weight 125 lb
65" reach 65"
34 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.7 strikes landed / min 3.7
42% striking accuracy 47%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
63% striking defence 57%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
50% takedown accuracy 45%
61% takedown defence 62%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
PR Prowiththefro picks Rose Namajunas “I'm going to have to give this one at the end to Rose Namajunas”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Rose Namajunas VALUE “I'm getting more and more confident with each thing that I see from Tracy Cortez what do you think you could look at this whole thing... it's Rose Namajunas 10 times out of 10” $1.43
IN InTheGranite617 picks Rose Namajunas “I have to go with rose rose is striking this you know elite elite for the ladies Division and uh i' say round four”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Rose Namajunas “I'm going with Rose Namajunas” $1.43
PR Premium-Picks picks Rose Namajunas “I lean Rose Namajunas”
PR Premium-Picks picks Tracy Cortez VALUE “I'm betting Cortez plus two”
FM FULL SEND MMA picks Rose Namajunas “the former strawweight champ out of Colorado sixth ranked Rose nunis takes on 11th ranked Tracy Cortez”
WP We Want Picks picks Rose Namajunas VALUE “I do think Rose Namajunas wins this fight”
KR Knockout Radio picks Rose Namajunas “five rounds if necessary between Rose Namajunas and Tracy Cortez”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Tracy Cortez “do you give Tracy Cortez a good chance to to pull off the upset” $2.80
MK Morning Kombat picks Tracy Cortez VALUE $2.80
DI DFS Insights picks Tracy Cortez “rose up at the top Tracy Cortez”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Namajunas15-7
L Silva Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Maverick Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Blanchfield Decision · R5 Nov '24
W Cortez Decision · R5 Jul '24
W Ribas Decision · R5 Mar '24
Cortez11-2
L Blanchfield Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Araújo Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Namajunas Decision · R5 Jul '24
W Jasudavicius Decision · R3 Sep '23
W Gatto Decision · R3 May '22