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UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Jenkins v Burns Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus24 picks · conf 48/99
Jenkins 20
4 Burns
BJMMBL pick Jenkins
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jenkins 14-4 VS 11-6 Burns
5'7" height 5'9"
146 lb weight 146 lb
68" reach 74"
32 age 38
Switch stance Orthodox
5.0 strikes landed / min 1.9
41% striking accuracy 36%
2.0 strikes absorbed / min 5.2
60% striking defence 41%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.9
48% takedown accuracy 34%
72% takedown defence 66%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 1.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Jack Jenkins VALUE “I did pick uh Jack Jenkins Jack Jenkins Jenkins to win that fight”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Jack Jenkins “Jack Jack Jenkins looked really good though he pieced the [ __ ] out of him beating him up to the body looked great good job Jack Jack Jenkins happy to see him back”
BM Brando MMA picks Jack Jenkins “good win from Jack Jenkinss uh really incredible boxing”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Jack Jenkins “should beat Herbert Burns”
AM Artem MMA picks Jack Jenkins VALUE “Jack Jenkins I think looked very good one of the more impressive performances on the card”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jack Jenkins VALUE “the pick is Jack Jenkins but um probably one to avoid unless you want to play The Dog”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Herbert Burns VALUE “I will bet Herbert Herbert Burns to win by submission plus 900” $10.00
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Jack Jenkins “my pick for topology for the contest is Jack Jenkins and I'm gonna say probably by um TKO round two because the cardio”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jack Jenkins VALUE “Jenkins is supposed to win”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Jack Jenkins “Herbert Burns is a body bag”
DR DRYWALL picks Jack Jenkins “Jack Jenkins is gonna knock him out we think it's gonna be early”
FA FanDuel picks Jack Jenkins “I'll take Jack Jenkins to win line I love this bet for Jack Jenkins at plus click on the burns versus Jack Jenkins match”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jenkins14-4
W Taveras Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Santos Submission · R3 Feb '25
W Burns KO/TKO · R3 Aug '24
L Mariscal KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
W Emmers Decision · R3 Jun '23
Burns11-6
L Jenkins KO/TKO · R3 Aug '24
L Arce KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
L Algeo KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
L Pineda KO/TKO · R2 Aug '20
W Dunham Submission · R1 Jun '20