MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Durden v Schnell Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Durden 6
4 Schnell
MSLPHW pick Durden
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Durden 17-10-1 VS 17-10 Schnell
5'7" height 5'8"
125 lb weight 126 lb
67" reach 70"
35 age 36
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 4.4
50% striking accuracy 39%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
50% striking defence 55%
4.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
50% takedown accuracy 40%
73% takedown defence 50%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Matt Schnell “I'm gonna take Matt Schnell on this one too”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Durden “I'm going with Cody Durden I think he can out wrestle match now”
WP We Want Picks picks Cody Durden “I think Cody Durden Jordan wins”
CO Covers picks Matt Schnell VALUE “I'm looking at Matt Schnell as a big-time Underdog here plus 255 against Cody Durden” $3.55
PR Premium-Picks picks Cody Durden “I think he will finish Matt Schnell”
HB Half The Battle picks Cody Durden VALUE “I'm going Cody Durden Cody Durden Durden” $1.32
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Matt Schnell VALUE “I am going to side with Gilbert durinho Burns”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Cody Durden “I'm going to be picking Cody Durden”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Durden VALUE “I'm going to pick deran” $1.33
SD Santino DeFranco picks Cody Durden VALUE “deran Duran has looked amazing Yi Zhaah even in the Bruno fight I know we picked Bruno and we know Bruno like Bruno he got away with one there he lost every second of that fight until he won it and even on the feet how many times did he hurt Bruno Yi Zhaah”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Matt Schnell “NOT_IN_ROSTER_69 NOT_IN_ROSTER_70 wins this fight as a minus 1,000 Underdog”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Durden17-10-1
W Filho Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Tumendemberel Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Nascimento Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Ochoa KO/TKO · R2 Jun '25
L Van Decision · R3 Dec '24
Schnell17-10
L Costa KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
L Morales Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Flick Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Durden Submission · R2 Sep '24
L Erceg KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24