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UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
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CP NM Prates vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight RR GM Ridder vs MeerschaertMain Card · Middleweight GB CR Bolaños vs RomiousMain Card · Bantamweight GR LP Robertson vs PinheiroMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MA DT Abdul-Malik vs TodorovićMain Card · Middleweight DG KK Gomes vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight ES ZS Santos vs ScrogginPreliminary Card · Catchweight CR MS Radtke vs SemelsbergerPreliminary Card · Welterweight DB CS Blackshear vs StamannPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TG AT Gore vs TrócoliPreliminary Card · Middleweight MM KS Mullins vs SygułaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Blackshear v Stamann Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus50 picks · conf 70/99
Blackshear 29
21 Stamann
SFEKAP pick Blackshear
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Blackshear 15-7-1 VS 21-8-1 Stamann
5'10" height 5'6"
136 lb weight 135 lb
72" reach 65"
31 age 36
Switch stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 4.3
47% striking accuracy 46%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
49% striking defence 60%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
37% takedown accuracy 37%
68% takedown defence 76%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TA TakeDownTalks picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “Da'Mon Blackshear by submission”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Da'Mon Blackshear” $2.90
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “I think Da'Mon Blackshear gets back on the winning track here”
ES etoft21 sports picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “Da'Mon Blackshear NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 wor the rain der Ritter” $1.81
TM The Ten7 MMA picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “I am gonna take him I'm gonna take Deon black sheer on the money line” $1.38
TA Tactical picks Cody Stamann “I'm gonna go with the mo black here on this one I like both of these Fighters I I I really do like this fight uh one of the ones I'm working forward to but yeah I'm going to go backx here”
WP We Want Picks picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I'm gonna pick Deon blacksher”
WP We Want Picks picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “then I parlayed three Fighters and I'm pausing dramatically because I don't know if I hit three fight parlays but we got demon blackshire Gillian Robertson Carlos prattes Carlos prattes odds are pretty far gone so that's why we did a three- legger I think jayen Robertson 100% gets it done I think Carlos PES 100% gets it done but to get a little more money to get a little more meat on this bone we added Deon black here I do think he wins I'm pretty confident he wins”
FM FunkyBunch MMA picks Da'Mon Blackshear “the pick is going to be Damon black share low medium confidence and low medium confidence in this fight going decision” $1.37
TP Tony's Picks picks Da'Mon Blackshear “Deon blackshare should be able to get the win”
TP Tony's Picks picks Cody Stamann “Deon blackshare should be able to get the win”
T3 T33NHZ picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I'm going to bet on him... I do think uh Da'Mon Blackshear though uh should pull off a win but you never know with him... I think for a prop play I think you go Ric sub Da'Mon Blackshear sub rise uh you know I think he wins either by uh inside the distance so I would say you know bet uh two finishes you go um uh submission or KO”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Blackshear15-7-1
L Grant Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Heili Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Gibson Submission · R2 Mar '25
W Stamann Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Jackson KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24
Stamann21-8-1
L Blackshear Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Lapilus Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Andrade Decision · R3 May '23
W Lacerda Decision · R3 Jan '23
W Wineland KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22