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Prophecy read
Stoltzfus v Barriault
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Stoltzfus 16-8
VS
17-10 Barriault
6'0"
height
6'1"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
75"
reach
74"
34
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.6
strikes landed / min
6.0
44%
striking accuracy
47%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
5.6
50%
striking defence
52%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.2
71%
takedown accuracy
25%
52%
takedown defence
67%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TA
TakeDownTalks picks Dustin Stoltzfus
“the pick is Dustin Stoltzfus”
TakeDownTalks picks Dustin Stoltzfus
“the pick is Dustin Stoltzfus”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“I'm gonna side with Mark Andre bario I think this is going to be a long fight I think it's going to go to decision but I'm gonna side with him to uh to get a unanimous decision especially when he is fighting in his hometown”
B ALL N Sports picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“I'm gonna side with Mark Andre bario I think this is going to be a long fight I think it's going to go to decision but I'm gonna side with him to uh to get a unanimous decision especially when he is fighting in his hometown”
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I'm going Aiemann Zahabi over Pedro Munhoz and to reiterate that main event Mike Malott over T Trevon Giles Marc-André Barriault over Dustin suus uh B Brendson Ribeiro over Caio Machado NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 over NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 Rose Nunes over Erin Blanchfield and in the EVENT_DETAILS Brandon Moreno over air Amir Albazi that is my betting breakdown for the whole entire card”
B ALL N Sports picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I'm going Aiemann Zahabi over Pedro Munhoz and to reiterate that main event Mike Malott over T Trevon Giles Marc-André Barriault over Dustin suus uh B Brendson Ribeiro over Caio Machado NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 over NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 Rose Nunes over Erin Blanchfield and in the EVENT_DETAILS Brandon Moreno over air Amir Albazi that is my betting breakdown for the whole entire card”
FI
fiatlover956 picks Dustin Stoltzfus
“I'm going to take Justin I don't really know who he is or if he's good or not but he he had the less brutal finish”
fiatlover956 picks Dustin Stoltzfus
“I'm going to take Justin I don't really know who he is or if he's good or not but he he had the less brutal finish”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“I like stus as my salary play of the week”
$4.00
Mayo Media Network picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“I like stus as my salary play of the week”
$4.00
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I I picked berot to win”
Mayo Media Network picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I I picked berot to win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Marc-André Barriault
“I think Mark Andre wins”
We Want Picks picks Marc-André Barriault
“I think Mark Andre wins”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I do think the over two and a half uh is play and I do think the fight goes the distance in that one”
$1.53
Tony's Picks picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“I do think the over two and a half uh is play and I do think the fight goes the distance in that one”
$1.53
CA
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“eu acho que o stoffus vai vencer e Apesar dele ser Zebra eu vou nele”
ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“eu acho que o stoffus vai vencer e Apesar dele ser Zebra eu vou nele”
MM
Mask MMA picks Marc-André Barriault
“I feel like Mark Andre B is going to win this one”
Mask MMA picks Marc-André Barriault
“I feel like Mark Andre B is going to win this one”
FM
FunkyBunch MMA picks Marc-André Barriault
“pick is going to be Marc-André Barriault low medium confidence in the pick low confidence in this fight going decision”
FunkyBunch MMA picks Marc-André Barriault
“pick is going to be Marc-André Barriault low medium confidence in the pick low confidence in this fight going decision”
MJ
MMA Janitor picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“he's definitely going to out strike him but you know that's anotherus 210 to plus 175 the odds are the odds for a reason there's no real reason to pick against him this time”
$1.48
MMA Janitor picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE
“he's definitely going to out strike him but you know that's anotherus 210 to plus 175 the odds are the odds for a reason there's no real reason to pick against him this time”
$1.48
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Stoltzfus16-8
L
Gastelum
Sep '25
L
Ruziboev
May '25
W
Barriault
Nov '24
L
Ferreira
Jun '24
W
Soriano
Dec '23
Barriault17-10
L
Oleksiejczuk
Feb '26
L
Magomedov
Jul '25
W
Silva
May '25
L
Stoltzfus
Nov '24
L
Pyfer
Jun '24