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Brundage vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight
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Haqparast vs RibovicsMain Card · Lightweight
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Amil vs GomisMain Card · Featherweight
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Patterson vs BarlowMain Card · Welterweight
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Pinto vs LanePreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Mariscal vs RamosPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Silva vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Patterson v Barlow
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Patterson 14-2-1
VS
9-1 Barlow
6'3"
height
6'2"
170 lb
weight
185 lb
78"
reach
79"
30
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.1
strikes landed / min
5.7
57%
striking accuracy
47%
2.1
strikes absorbed / min
4.9
57%
striking defence
70%
1.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.2
31%
takedown accuracy
66%
71%
takedown defence
61%
1.9
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Danny Barlow VALUE
“I'm picking Danny Barlow to win this fight by knockout”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“I'm going big Sam bro are you mad boo is the better Striker by a mile and he can kind of grapple”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“I'm going to pick Sam Patterson as the Savage dog lock”
$3.72
CZ
Czaleo picks Danny Barlow
“I'm going D Silva on this one come on Danny Barlow Danny Barlow Silva get it done for your boy Caesar Leo”
FI
FightFairy picks Sam Patterson
“I'm picking Sam Patterson”
VM
Verbal Sparring MMA picks Danny Barlow VALUE
“The Undefeated 9-0 Danny Barlow is taking on the Brit that is Sam Patterson Barlo is a contender series Alum and also 2-0 in the EVENT_DETAILS he's finished six of those nine victories and is just 29 years old right now entering his prime”
AP
Anik & Florian Podcast picks Danny Barlow
“Danny Barlow I'm going a 100 because Sam Patterson keeps that chin High”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Sam Patterson VALUE
“and kicking off the main card in the welterweight division Sam Patterson versus Danny Barlow and from the featherweight division William Gomis versus Hider aurane let's go”
WP
We Want Picks picks Danny Barlow VALUE
“I'm going Danny Barlow period end of story”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Patterson14-2-1
L
Page
Mar '26
W
Waters
Sep '25
W
Barlow
Mar '25
W
Crosbie
Jul '24
W
Lainesse
Jan '24
Barlow9-1
L
Santos
Oct '25
L
Patterson
Mar '25
W
Veretennikov
Aug '24
W
Quinlan
Feb '24