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Green vs Gibson Jr.Main Card · Catchweight
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Brito vs ThomsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MK
Royval vs KapeMain Card · Flyweight
GC
KV
Chikadze vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
CA
CO
Almeida vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight
MC
MC
Costa vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
KN
MB
Nzechukwu vs BuchechaMain Card · Heavyweight
NM
YA
Magny vs AmosovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
SS
SA
Sharaf vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MC
LS
Croden vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AF
GP
Frye vs PatPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
JH
TB
Horth vs BledáPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KG
LJ
Green vs Gibson Jr.Main Card · Catchweight
JB
IT
Brito vs ThomsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Green v Gibson Jr.
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Green 34-17-1
VS
9-2 Gibson Jr.
5'10"
height
5'9"
155 lb
weight
158 lb
71"
reach
72"
39
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
6.4
strikes landed / min
1.2
53%
striking accuracy
75%
3.7
strikes absorbed / min
6.4
62%
striking defence
20%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
39%
takedown accuracy
0%
74%
takedown defence
0%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MU
MustardKetchupMayo1000 picks King Green
“taking King Green ... King Green this is a lock”
PP
Parry Punch picks Lance Gibson Jr. VALUE
“I'm taking Lance Gibson Jr.”
DR
DRYWALL picks King Green
“I gota go Bobby Green by decision. Gotta go Bobby Green by decision.”
TP
The MMA War Room Podcast picks Lance Gibson Jr. VALUE
“give me Lance Gibson Jr. as a dog I'm all over Lance Gibson Jr..”
$2.80
MR
MMA Randy picks Lance Gibson Jr.
“by Lance Gibson Jr. I can see it Yeah, Lance Gibson Jr. by knockout.”
KL
KlasickMMA picks King Green
“I'm going to pick King Green by out So, give me King Green by KO.”
RM
Round by Round MMA picks King Green
“I'm going to pick King Green”
MF
Matt’Or Fact picks Lance Gibson Jr.
“I got Lance Gibson Jr. to go”
IM
IMIGHTBEWRONG MMA picks Lance Gibson Jr.
“I do not trust King Green's King Green versus Lance Gibson Jr. go Lance Gibson Jr. by knockout rounds”
FI
Fight_Numerology picks King Green
“And King Green is in UFC since 2013 and Green versus Lance Gibson Jr. Lance Gibson Jr. in this matchup.”
TS
The Mike Finch Show picks Lance Gibson Jr.
“slight lean Lance Gibson Jr., Lance Gibson Jr. should be pretty choke and Lance Gibson Jr. submissions”
TM
TREMENDOUS MMA picks King Green
“I'm going to go King Green by KO.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Green34-17-1
W
Stephens
May '26
W
Zellhuber
Feb '26
W
Gibson Jr.
Dec '25
L
Ruffy
Mar '25
L
Pimblett
Jul '24
Gibson Jr.9-2
W
Hooper
Mar '26
L
Green
Dec '25