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UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Fili v Rodriguez Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus42 picks · conf 63/99
Fili 16
26 Rodriguez
GMTMPA pick Fili
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Fili 25-13 VS 12-4 Rodriguez
5'11" height 5'7"
145 lb weight 146 lb
74" reach 72"
36 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 3.6
37% striking accuracy 47%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
51% striking defence 58%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
43% takedown accuracy 54%
70% takedown defence 65%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MW Making the Walk picks Christian Rodriguez VALUE “I'm going Christian Rodriguez on this one”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Andre Fili “let's go. Andre Fili Andre Andre Fili feely.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Christian Rodriguez “I'm going to go with the volume of Christian Rodriguez.”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Christian Rodriguez “I'm taking Christian Rodriguez.”
YU YungBenny picks Christian Rodriguez “I think I'm actually going to lean towards Christian Rodriguez.”
NO notnicecole picks Christian Rodriguez “I might have to go with this man Christian Rodriguez.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Christian Rodriguez “Andre Phy plus 200 against Christian Rodriguez at minus 240.” $1.42
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Andre Fili VALUE “Andre Fili plus 200 certainly intriguing.” $3.00
AN AntUFC picks Christian Rodriguez “I'll say Christian Rodriguez wins this fight.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Christian Rodriguez “Our pick, Christian Rodriguez, but caution advised.”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Andre Fili VALUE “I've personally chosen Eric McConico, Andre Fili, Angela Hill, and Roman Dolidze as my picks for solid underdogs on this card”
MT Mark Berry TMA picks Andre Fili VALUE “I am going to look and pick Feelely here for his more well-rounded approach” $1.43
Recent form last five, most recent first
Fili25-13
L Oliveira KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Delgado Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Costa Submission · R1 Feb '25
W Swanson Decision · R3 Jun '24
Rodriguez12-4
W Amil Submission · R1 Jun '26
L Fili Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Costa Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Bashi Decision · R3 Jan '25
L Erosa Submission · R1 Jul '24