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UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Lewis v Teixeira Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus74 picks · conf 77/99
Lewis 40
34 Teixeira
DSDPTT pick Lewis
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lewis 29-13 VS 9-1 Teixeira
6'3" height 6'7"
265 lb weight 259 lb
79" reach 83"
41 age 26
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.5 strikes landed / min 14.9
50% striking accuracy 54%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 9.7
40% striking defence 58%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
26% takedown accuracy 0%
52% takedown defence 0%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UW Uncle Weezy picks Derrick Lewis VALUE “I'm going with Lewis here.” $3.30
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Derrick Lewis “I'm taking Derrick Derrick Lewis.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Tallison Teixeira “I'm picking Tesa.”
SH Showtime50k picks Derrick Lewis “I'm going to go Derrick Lewis. He's the underdog... I'm going uh Derrick Lewis by knockout.”
MM MMAmarkz picks Derrick Lewis VALUE “I'm going Dererick Lewis”
UP UFC Bro Picks picks Tallison Teixeira “I got Tallison Teixeira.” $3.50
TN Turkish Lad News picks Derrick Lewis VALUE “the picks, Nate Landwehr, Kennedy Nzechukwu, NOT_IN_ROSTER_1, Eduarda Moura, NOT_IN_ROSTER_2, Chidi Njokuani, Steve Garcia, Gabriel Bonfim, and Derrick Lewis.”
FF Fite Feed picks Derrick Lewis “You got Derrick Lewis”
OP Overdogs Podcast with Mike Perry picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Tallison Teixeira VALUE “ultimately I do think he gets Lewis in the latter half of round one or the early part of round two. How I think he does it in the clinch with knees to the body.” $1.33
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Derrick Lewis VALUE “I'm actually taking a little bit of a sprinkle at Derrick Lewis's moneyline, though.” $3.50
KU Kunath picks Derrick Lewis VALUE “Give me the black beast.” $4.00
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lewis29-13
L Hokit KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Cortes-Acosta KO/TKO · R2 Jan '26
W Teixeira KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Nascimento KO/TKO · R3 May '24
L Almeida Decision · R5 Nov '23
Teixeira9-1
L Pavlovich KO/TKO · R1 May '26
W Tuivasa Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Lewis KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Tafa KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25