Sat 11 Jul · Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
◷ tomorrow
Prophecy call
Max Holloway $1.47
MARKET AGREES
Value edges
13on this card
🔥 Big underdog
3d
PP
Paddy Pimblett
Moneyline · vs Saint Denis
Polymarket
$2.38
EV
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS +44.4% on dogsW4 streak
The market makes Pimblett a 42% shot at this price. UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS is on the upset with 85 more channels.
Consensus play
41h
RW
Robert Whittaker
Moneyline · vs Krylov
Polymarket
$1.85
EV
77 of 99 tracked channels are on Whittaker. That group runs +1% ROI.
AN
these 77 average +1% ROI
Spotlight channel · rising
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5-0Last 5
11 picks on this card
🔥 Big underdog
41h
KG
King Green
Moneyline · vs McKinney
Pinnacle
$2.41
AntUFC -18.0% on dogsW1 streak
The market makes Green a 41% shot at this price. AntUFC is on the upset with 40 more channels.
Consensus play
41h
LR
Luke Riley
Moneyline · vs Kamaka III
Polymarket
$1.43
EV
85 of 93 tracked channels are on Riley. That group runs +1% ROI.
AN
these 85 average +1% ROI
◈ Odds disparity · eu
line shop
NK
Nikita Krylov
Moneyline · vs Whittaker
Region edge · EU vs field
EU
Coolbet
$2.85
▲5.6%better
US · UK · AU field
$2.70
Coolbet (EU) is 5.6% over the field on Krylov — the gap rarely survives to fight week.
Consensus play
41h
GS
Gable Steveson
Moneyline · vs Ellison
Polymarket
$1.09
+4% EVFREE
74 of 76 tracked channels are on Steveson. That group runs +0% ROI. Model fair $1.05 vs market $1.09 — still underpriced.
AN
SA
these 74 average +0% ROI
✦ Fight camp news · via X
10h
PP
Paddy Pimblett
Moneyline · vs Saint Denis
Polymarket
$2.38
Weight cut concerns persist — Started camp at ~191 lb earlier; claims healthy 10-15 lb cut this time
XMMA Fighting/Facebook
Weight
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2
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS
+85 more on the dog