Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Nov 02, 2024 Past Edmonton, Alberta , Canada Canada Total Weight 2531.578
Channels Engaged
166
Predictions Logged
1138
Value Picks Flagged
346
Fight Slots
13
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 1138 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 166 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 346 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.1 Cody Gibson ROI 1.24x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Cody Gibson vs Chad Anheliger 1.24x ROI
Cody Gibson weighted 1.1 Market 1.49 Crowd 1.12
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Aiemann Zahabi vs Pedro Munhoz 1.15x ROI
Pedro Munhoz weighted 3.08 Market 5.57 Crowd 2.82
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Cody Gibson vs Chad Anheliger 0.72x ROI
Chad Anheliger weighted 10.94 Market 2.67 Crowd 9.67
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Aiemann Zahabi vs Pedro Munhoz 0.79x ROI
Aiemann Zahabi weighted 1.48 Market 1.14 Crowd 1.55
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Brendson Ribeiro vs Caio Machado 0.87x ROI
Caio Machado weighted 2.05 Market 1.61 Crowd 2.18
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 13
Weighted model 84.6%
Pure crowd 84.6%
Market favourite 76.9%

Brandon Moreno vs Amir Albazi

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 513.52
ROI Momentum -6.01
Underdog Specialist 2.85
Favorite Reliability 188.86
Weight-Class Ace 16.01
Regional Familiarity 106.65
Value Pick Signal 146.3
Sample Size Confidence 425.4

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.