Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Feb 15, 2025 Past Las Vegas, Nevada , U.S. U S Total Weight 2636.599
Channels Engaged
151
Predictions Logged
1259
Value Picks Flagged
235
Fight Slots
12
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 1259 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 151 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 235 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.32 Elijah Smith ROI 1.16x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Elijah Smith vs Vince Morales 1.16x ROI
Elijah Smith weighted 1.32 Market 1.68 Crowd 1.38
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Valter Walker vs Don'Tale Mayes 1.09x ROI
Valter Walker weighted 1.18 Market 1.32 Crowd 1.22
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Elijah Smith vs Vince Morales 0.79x ROI
Vince Morales weighted 4.12 Market 2.21 Crowd 3.67
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Valter Walker vs Don'Tale Mayes 0.84x ROI
Don'Tale Mayes weighted 6.69 Market 3.28 Crowd 5.44
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Nazim Sadykhov vs Ismael Bonfim 0.88x ROI
Ismael Bonfim weighted 1.75 Market 1.44 Crowd 1.96
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 12
Weighted model 75.0%
Pure crowd 75.0%
Market favourite 66.7%

Jared Cannonier vs Gregory Rodrigues

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 474.65
ROI Momentum -8.73
Underdog Specialist -3.24
Favorite Reliability 216.44
Weight-Class Ace 54.83
Regional Familiarity 112.05
Value Pick Signal 138.6
Sample Size Confidence 393.0

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.