Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Mar 15, 2025 Past Las Vegas, Nevada , U.S. U S Total Weight 2248.738
Channels Engaged
149
Predictions Logged
1049
Value Picks Flagged
314
Fight Slots
13
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 1049 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 149 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 314 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.88 Yuneisy Duben ROI 1.22x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Carli Judice vs Yuneisy Duben 1.22x ROI
Yuneisy Duben weighted 1.88 Market 3.18 Crowd 1.77
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Alexander Hernandez vs Kurt Holobaugh 1.19x ROI
Kurt Holobaugh weighted 1.71 Market 2.51 Crowd 1.59
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Carlos Vera vs Josias Musasa 1.11x ROI
Carlos Vera weighted 3.81 Market 6.63 Crowd 3.27
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Carli Judice vs Yuneisy Duben 0.74x ROI
Carli Judice weighted 2.13 Market 1.37 Crowd 2.29
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Alexander Hernandez vs Kurt Holobaugh 0.75x ROI
Alexander Hernandez weighted 2.41 Market 1.51 Crowd 2.7
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Carlos Vera vs Josias Musasa 0.83x ROI
Josias Musasa weighted 1.36 Market 1.11 Crowd 1.44
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 13
Weighted model 38.5%
Pure crowd 38.5%
Market favourite 38.5%

Roman Dolidze vs Marvin Vettori

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 435.72
ROI Momentum -3.34
Underdog Specialist 2.13
Favorite Reliability 133.37
Weight-Class Ace 28.0
Regional Familiarity 99.6
Value Pick Signal 142.45
Sample Size Confidence 361.8

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.