Event Selector

UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Jun 21, 2025 Past Baku , Azerbaijan Azerbaijan Total Weight 1604.911
Channels Engaged
95
Predictions Logged
699
Value Picks Flagged
164
Fight Slots
12
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 699 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 95 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 164 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.1 Melissa Mullins ROI 1.19x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Melissa Mullins vs Daria Zheleznyakova 1.19x ROI
Melissa Mullins weighted 1.1 Market 1.39 Crowd 1.13
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Irina Alekseeva vs Klaudia Syguła 1.14x ROI
Irina Alekseeva weighted 1.19 Market 1.42 Crowd 1.24
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Tagir Ulanbekov vs Azat Maksum 1.13x ROI
Tagir Ulanbekov weighted 1.13 Market 1.33 Crowd 1.17
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Melissa Mullins vs Daria Zheleznyakova 0.76x ROI
Daria Zheleznyakova weighted 10.84 Market 3.0 Crowd 8.67
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Irina Alekseeva vs Klaudia Syguła 0.8x ROI
Klaudia Syguła weighted 6.18 Market 2.75 Crowd 5.2
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Tagir Ulanbekov vs Azat Maksum 0.8x ROI
Azat Maksum weighted 8.62 Market 3.22 Crowd 6.75
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 12
Weighted model 58.3%
Pure crowd 50.0%
Market favourite 58.3%

Jamahal Hill vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 333.82
ROI Momentum -5.12
Underdog Specialist 3.21
Favorite Reliability 132.44
Weight-Class Ace 26.31
Regional Familiarity 59.4
Value Pick Signal 78.05
Sample Size Confidence 277.8

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.