Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Jun 06, 2026 Scheduled Las Vegas , Nevada , U.S. U S Total Weight 444.469
Channels Engaged
28
Predictions Logged
189
Value Picks Flagged
13
Fight Slots
12
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 189 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 28 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 13 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.1 Belal Muhammad ROI 1.34x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim 1.34x ROI
Belal Muhammad weighted 1.1 Market 1.75 Crowd 1.08
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan 1.27x ROI
Brendan Allen weighted 1.03 Market 1.43 Crowd 1.05
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim 0.6x ROI
Gabriel Bonfim weighted 11.03 Market 2.03 Crowd 13.0
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan 0.67x ROI
Edmen Shahbazyan weighted 40.96 Market 2.85 Crowd 21.0
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Jordan Leavitt vs Joanderson Brito 0.69x ROI
Joanderson Brito weighted 2.92 Market 1.54 Crowd 3.33
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 101.66
ROI Momentum -4.56
Underdog Specialist 1.14
Favorite Reliability 46.2
Weight-Class Ace 8.29
Regional Familiarity 11.7
Value Pick Signal 5.25
Sample Size Confidence 85.8

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.