Event Selector

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Feb 01, 2026 Past Sydney , Australia Australia Total Weight 4105.703
Channels Engaged
310
Predictions Logged
2246
Value Picks Flagged
140
Fight Slots
16
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 2246 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 310 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 140 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.34 Dom Mar Fan ROI 1.15x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Kim Sang-wook vs Dom Mar Fan 1.15x ROI
Dom Mar Fan weighted 1.34 Market 1.68 Crowd 1.43
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Junior Tafa vs Billy Elekana 1.14x ROI
Billy Elekana weighted 1.16 Market 1.38 Crowd 1.19
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Kim Sang-wook vs Dom Mar Fan 0.8x ROI
Kim Sang-wook weighted 3.93 Market 2.18 Crowd 3.33
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Junior Tafa vs Billy Elekana 0.81x ROI
Junior Tafa weighted 7.19 Market 3.07 Crowd 6.19
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Kaan Ofli vs Yi Zha 0.86x ROI
Yi Zha weighted 1.47 Market 1.22 Crowd 1.49
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 12
Weighted model 75.0%
Pure crowd 75.0%
Market favourite 75.0%

Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 712.33
ROI Momentum -21.27
Underdog Specialist -6.33
Favorite Reliability 296.15
Weight-Class Ace 83.58
Regional Familiarity 140.55
Value Pick Signal 63.7
Sample Size Confidence 591.0

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.