Event Selector

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Feb 01, 2026 Past Sydney , Australia Australia Total Weight 5476.942
Channels Engaged
383
Predictions Logged
2779
Value Picks Flagged
475
Fight Slots
16
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 2779 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 383 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 475 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.33 Dom Mar Fan ROI 1.15x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Kim Sang-wook vs Dom Mar Fan 1.15x ROI
Dom Mar Fan weighted 1.33 Market 1.68 Crowd 1.41
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Kim Sang-wook vs Dom Mar Fan 0.79x ROI
Kim Sang-wook weighted 4.0 Market 2.18 Crowd 3.42
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Dan Hooker vs Benoît Saint Denis 0.83x ROI
Benoît Saint Denis weighted 1.57 Market 1.24 Crowd 1.7
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Junior Tafa vs Billy Elekana 0.84x ROI
Junior Tafa weighted 6.17 Market 3.07 Crowd 5.03
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 14
Weighted model 64.3%
Pure crowd 64.3%
Market favourite 64.3%

Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 1009.36
ROI Momentum -51.61
Underdog Specialist -12.78
Favorite Reliability 417.26
Weight-Class Ace 127.91
Regional Familiarity 154.2
Value Pick Signal 205.8
Sample Size Confidence 847.8

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.