Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Aug 23, 2025 Past Shanghai , China China Total Weight 2154.222
Channels Engaged
104
Predictions Logged
905
Value Picks Flagged
168
Fight Slots
13
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 905 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 104 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 168 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.1 Michel Pereira ROI 1.2x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus 1.2x ROI
Michel Pereira weighted 1.1 Market 1.41 Crowd 1.12
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6
Xiao Long vs You Su-young 1.17x ROI
You Su-young weighted 1.35 Market 1.75 Crowd 1.45
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6
Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas 1.17x ROI
Kevin Borjas weighted 1.73 Market 2.44 Crowd 1.68
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6
Market Heat
Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus 0.76x ROI
Kyle Daukaus weighted 10.74 Market 3.05 Crowd 9.5
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6
Xiao Long vs You Su-young 0.78x ROI
Xiao Long weighted 3.89 Market 2.1 Crowd 3.23
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6
Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas 0.79x ROI
Su Mudaerji weighted 2.37 Market 1.59 Crowd 2.48
AU, EU, GLOBAL, UK, US, US2 Sample 6

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 12
Weighted model 66.7%
Pure crowd 66.7%
Market favourite 75.0%

Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 470.52
ROI Momentum -20.49
Underdog Specialist -5.56
Favorite Reliability 212.97
Weight-Class Ace 32.33
Regional Familiarity 72.9
Value Pick Signal 94.15
Sample Size Confidence 392.4

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.