Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Feb 27, 2021 Past Total Weight 200.77
Channels Engaged
8
Predictions Logged
79
Value Picks Flagged
15
Fight Slots
9
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 79 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 8 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 15 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.0 Jimmie Rivera ROI 1.41x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Pedro Munhoz vs Jimmie Rivera 1.41x ROI
Jimmie Rivera weighted 1.0 Market 1.7 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Ciryl Gane vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.38x ROI
Jairzinho Rozenstruik weighted 1.43 Market 3.09 Crowd 1.33
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Alexis Davis vs Sabina Mazo 1.3x ROI
Sabina Mazo weighted 1.0 Market 1.43 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Market Heat
Pedro Munhoz vs Jimmie Rivera 0.53x ROI
Pedro Munhoz weighted — Market 2.15 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Ciryl Gane vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0.58x ROI
Ciryl Gane weighted 3.33 Market 1.38 Crowd 4.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Alexis Davis vs Sabina Mazo 0.65x ROI
Alexis Davis weighted — Market 2.87 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 8
Weighted model 50.0%
Pure crowd 50.0%
Market favourite 37.5%

Ciryl Gane vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 50.75
ROI Momentum -0.46
Underdog Specialist -0.37
Favorite Reliability 20.27
Weight-Class Ace 2.14
Value Pick Signal 8.05
Sample Size Confidence 41.4

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.