Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Jun 05, 2021 Past Las Vegas, Nevada , U.S. U S Total Weight 298.36
Channels Engaged
12
Predictions Logged
108
Value Picks Flagged
31
Fight Slots
13
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 108 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 12 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 31 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.0 Muslim Salikhov ROI 1.31x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge Γ—1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum Γ—1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist Γ—0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability Γ—0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace Γ—0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal Γ—0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence Γ—0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Muslim Salikhov vs Francisco Trinaldo 1.31x ROI
Muslim Salikhov weighted 1.0 Market 1.44 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Ilir Latifi vs Tanner Boser 1.27x ROI
Ilir Latifi weighted 1.46 Market 2.44 Crowd 1.33
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Alan Patrick vs Mason Jones 1.25x ROI
Mason Jones weighted 1.0 Market 1.32 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Market Heat
Muslim Salikhov vs Francisco Trinaldo 0.64x ROI
Francisco Trinaldo weighted β€” Market 2.79 Crowd β€”
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Ilir Latifi vs Tanner Boser 0.68x ROI
Tanner Boser weighted 3.17 Market 1.57 Crowd 4.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Alan Patrick vs Mason Jones 0.7x ROI
Alan Patrick weighted β€” Market 3.38 Crowd β€”
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 12
Weighted model 75.0%
Pure crowd 83.3%
Market favourite 50.0%

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Augusto Sakai

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet β€” waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 67.03
ROI Momentum -1.38
Underdog Specialist -1.23
Favorite Reliability 26.25
Weight-Class Ace 7.08
Regional Familiarity 16.05
Value Pick Signal 21.35
Sample Size Confidence 55.2

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.