Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Jun 26, 2021 Past 0 0 Total Weight 269.984
Channels Engaged
8
Predictions Logged
100
Value Picks Flagged
21
Fight Slots
13
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 100 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 8 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 21 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.0 Tanner Boser ROI 1.36x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Tanner Boser vs Ovince Saint Preux 1.36x ROI
Tanner Boser weighted 1.0 Market 1.57 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Andre Fili vs Daniel Pineda 1.3x ROI
Andre Fili weighted 1.0 Market 1.43 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Market Heat
Tanner Boser vs Ovince Saint Preux 0.59x ROI
Ovince Saint Preux weighted — Market 2.41 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Timur Valiev vs Raoni Barcelos 0.64x ROI
Timur Valiev weighted — Market 2.81 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Andre Fili vs Daniel Pineda 0.65x ROI
Daniel Pineda weighted — Market 2.88 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 12
Weighted model 75.0%
Pure crowd 75.0%
Market favourite 83.3%

Ciryl Gane vs Alexander Volkov

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 63.34
ROI Momentum -0.07
Underdog Specialist -0.3
Favorite Reliability 25.57
Weight-Class Ace 4.29
Regional Familiarity 13.65
Value Pick Signal 11.9
Sample Size Confidence 51.6

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.