Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Feb 19, 2022 Past Total Weight 334.851
Channels Engaged
13
Predictions Logged
121
Value Picks Flagged
27
Fight Slots
12
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 121 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 13 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 27 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.0 Jessica-Rose Clark ROI 1.34x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Stephanie Egger vs Jessica-Rose Clark 1.34x ROI
Jessica-Rose Clark weighted 1.0 Market 1.52 Crowd 1.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Gloria de Paula vs Diana Belbiţă 1.29x ROI
Diana Belbiţă weighted 1.18 Market 1.8 Crowd 1.2
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Market Heat
Stephanie Egger vs Jessica-Rose Clark 0.61x ROI
Stephanie Egger weighted — Market 2.54 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Gloria de Paula vs Diana Belbiţă 0.66x ROI
Gloria de Paula weighted 6.57 Market 2.04 Crowd 6.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Chad Anheliger vs Jesse Strader 0.68x ROI
Jesse Strader weighted — Market 3.11 Crowd —
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 12
Weighted model 75.0%
Pure crowd 83.3%
Market favourite 75.0%

Jamahal Hill vs Johnny Walker

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 85.64
ROI Momentum 0.4
Underdog Specialist 1.26
Favorite Reliability 36.83
Weight-Class Ace 3.43
Value Pick Signal 16.1
Sample Size Confidence 70.2

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.